Trader consensus strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (80.6%), driven by the absence of any official announcements or diplomatic scheduling amid the ongoing Ukraine war, international sanctions on Russia, and both leaders' domestic priorities. Post-election phone discussions reported by Trump were downplayed by the Kremlin as preliminary, yielding no summit momentum. Trump's transition focuses on cabinet confirmations and executive actions, while Putin prioritizes military operations and no-confidence signals in coalition negotiations. Neutral venues like Turkey or Switzerland see minimal odds due to lack of preparatory talks; an ICC arrest warrant limits Putin's travel, and U.S. alliances deter hosting in Russia. Upcoming foreign policy summits exclude this pairing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNenhum encontro até 30 de junho 80.6%
Outro país da UE 3.0%
Outro 2.7%
Rússia 2.1%
$2,800,546 Vol.
$2,800,546 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 30 de junho
81%

Outro país da UE
3%

Outro
3%

Rússia
2%

Estados Unidos
2%

País do Golfo
2%

China
2%

Turquia
1%

Bielorrússia
1%

Japão
<1%

Suíça
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Finlândia
<1%

Ucrânia
<1%

Austrália
<1%
Nenhum encontro até 30 de junho 80.6%
Outro país da UE 3.0%
Outro 2.7%
Rússia 2.1%
$2,800,546 Vol.
$2,800,546 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 30 de junho
81%

Outro país da UE
3%

Outro
3%

Rússia
2%

Estados Unidos
2%

País do Golfo
2%

China
2%

Turquia
1%

Bielorrússia
1%

Japão
<1%

Suíça
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Finlândia
<1%

Ucrânia
<1%

Austrália
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (80.6%), driven by the absence of any official announcements or diplomatic scheduling amid the ongoing Ukraine war, international sanctions on Russia, and both leaders' domestic priorities. Post-election phone discussions reported by Trump were downplayed by the Kremlin as preliminary, yielding no summit momentum. Trump's transition focuses on cabinet confirmations and executive actions, while Putin prioritizes military operations and no-confidence signals in coalition negotiations. Neutral venues like Turkey or Switzerland see minimal odds due to lack of preparatory talks; an ICC arrest warrant limits Putin's travel, and U.S. alliances deter hosting in Russia. Upcoming foreign policy summits exclude this pairing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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