Pakistan leads at 38.5% trader consensus for hosting the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, fueled by Islamabad's aggressive mediation push in the past week amid the US-Iran war, including Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar's confirmation of indirect talks relayed through Pakistan and recent offers to convene direct negotiations with Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Egypt. Delegations from both sides reportedly arrived in Islamabad as early as March 23, capitalizing on Pakistan's geographic neutrality between rival orbits. Oman holds 15.3% from its prior role in February indirect nuclear talks in Muscat, while no meeting by June 30 at 19.5% captures Iranian rejections of US ceasefire proposals and stalled de-escalation signals. Upcoming multi-nation summit in Pakistan could tip probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoOnde acontecerá a próxima reunião diplomática EUA-Irã?
Onde acontecerá a próxima reunião diplomática EUA-Irã?
Paquistão 40%
Nenhuma reunião até 30 de junho 20%
Omã 14.9%
Turquia 9.6%
$314,638 Vol.
$314,638 Vol.
Paquistão
40%
Nenhuma reunião até 30 de junho
20%
Omã
15%
Turquia
10%
Catar
4%
Suíça
4%
Outro
3%
Egito
3%
Rússia
2%
Outro - Europa
2%
Outro - Oriente Médio/Norte da África
1%
Arábia Saudita
1%
Emirados Árabes Unidos
<1%
Irã
<1%
Áustria
<1%
Iraque
<1%
EUA
<1%
Itália
<1%
Cazaquistão
<1%
Paquistão 40%
Nenhuma reunião até 30 de junho 20%
Omã 14.9%
Turquia 9.6%
$314,638 Vol.
$314,638 Vol.
Paquistão
40%
Nenhuma reunião até 30 de junho
20%
Omã
15%
Turquia
10%
Catar
4%
Suíça
4%
Outro
3%
Egito
3%
Rússia
2%
Outro - Europa
2%
Outro - Oriente Médio/Norte da África
1%
Arábia Saudita
1%
Emirados Árabes Unidos
<1%
Irã
<1%
Áustria
<1%
Iraque
<1%
EUA
<1%
Itália
<1%
Cazaquistão
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan leads at 38.5% trader consensus for hosting the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, fueled by Islamabad's aggressive mediation push in the past week amid the US-Iran war, including Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar's confirmation of indirect talks relayed through Pakistan and recent offers to convene direct negotiations with Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Egypt. Delegations from both sides reportedly arrived in Islamabad as early as March 23, capitalizing on Pakistan's geographic neutrality between rival orbits. Oman holds 15.3% from its prior role in February indirect nuclear talks in Muscat, while no meeting by June 30 at 19.5% captures Iranian rejections of US ceasefire proposals and stalled de-escalation signals. Upcoming multi-nation summit in Pakistan could tip probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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