Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched their first ballistic missile at Israel on March 28, 2026—the initial attack from Yemen since the US-Israel war against Iran began—prompting interception by Israeli defenses and raising fears of Houthi entry into the broader conflict. Houthi spokesmen warned of targeting US warships in the Red Sea and resuming shipping disruptions if the US or Israel escalates via regional waters, following a pause in attacks after the October 2025 Israel-Hamas ceasefire. US officials signal plans to eliminate top Houthi leaders, while Israel reported overnight airstrikes on terror targets. Traders monitor for retaliatory US or Israeli military action against Houthi positions amid proxy war escalation risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$246,984 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 de março
65%
$246,984 Vol.
31 de março
$246,984 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched their first ballistic missile at Israel on March 28, 2026—the initial attack from Yemen since the US-Israel war against Iran began—prompting interception by Israeli defenses and raising fears of Houthi entry into the broader conflict. Houthi spokesmen warned of targeting US warships in the Red Sea and resuming shipping disruptions if the US or Israel escalates via regional waters, following a pause in attacks after the October 2025 Israel-Hamas ceasefire. US officials signal plans to eliminate top Houthi leaders, while Israel reported overnight airstrikes on terror targets. Traders monitor for retaliatory US or Israeli military action against Houthi positions amid proxy war escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 28, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Volume
$246,984Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 28, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched their first ballistic missile at Israel on March 28, 2026—the initial attack from Yemen since the US-Israel war against Iran began—prompting interception by Israeli defenses and raising fears of Houthi entry into the broader conflict. Houthi spokesmen warned of targeting US warships in the Red Sea and resuming shipping disruptions if the US or Israel escalates via regional waters, following a pause in attacks after the October 2025 Israel-Hamas ceasefire. US officials signal plans to eliminate top Houthi leaders, while Israel reported overnight airstrikes on terror targets. Traders monitor for retaliatory US or Israeli military action against Houthi positions amid proxy war escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$246,984Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 28, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched their first ballistic missile at Israel on March 28, 2026—the initial attack from Yemen since the US-Israel war against Iran began—prompting interception by Israeli defenses and raising fears of Houthi entry into the broader conflict. Houthi spokesmen warned of targeting US warships in the Red Sea and resuming shipping disruptions if the US or Israel escalates via regional waters, following a pause in attacks after the October 2025 Israel-Hamas ceasefire. US officials signal plans to eliminate top Houthi leaders, while Israel reported overnight airstrikes on terror targets. Traders monitor for retaliatory US or Israeli military action against Houthi positions amid proxy war escalation risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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