Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions last week by launching their first ballistic missiles at Israel on March 27-29 amid the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, with Israeli defenses intercepting the projectiles. The Houthis have since threatened to blockade the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—critical for Red Sea shipping—if Gulf states aid the US, while affirming readiness for direct intervention. The US responded with airstrikes on March 29, using Tomahawk missiles from USS Carney to destroy three Houthi drone sites threatening commercial vessels. No additional US strikes reported since, though B-2 bomber sorties and 40,000 regional troops underscore escalation risks. Traders monitor Houthi provocations, diplomatic signals, and potential allied involvement ahead of any resolution timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$381,254 Vol.
31 mar 2026
31 de março
1%
$381,254 Vol.
31 de março
$281,460 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions last week by launching their first ballistic missiles at Israel on March 27-29 amid the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, with Israeli defenses intercepting the projectiles. The Houthis have since threatened to blockade the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—critical for Red Sea shipping—if Gulf states aid the US, while affirming readiness for direct intervention. The US responded with airstrikes on March 29, using Tomahawk missiles from USS Carney to destroy three Houthi drone sites threatening commercial vessels. No additional US strikes reported since, though B-2 bomber sorties and 40,000 regional troops underscore escalation risks. Traders monitor Houthi provocations, diplomatic signals, and potential allied involvement ahead of any resolution timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$381,254Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions last week by launching their first ballistic missiles at Israel on March 27-29 amid the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, with Israeli defenses intercepting the projectiles. The Houthis have since threatened to blockade the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—critical for Red Sea shipping—if Gulf states aid the US, while affirming readiness for direct intervention. The US responded with airstrikes on March 29, using Tomahawk missiles from USS Carney to destroy three Houthi drone sites threatening commercial vessels. No additional US strikes reported since, though B-2 bomber sorties and 40,000 regional troops underscore escalation risks. Traders monitor Houthi provocations, diplomatic signals, and potential allied involvement ahead of any resolution timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$381,254Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions last week by launching their first ballistic missiles at Israel on March 27-29 amid the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, with Israeli defenses intercepting the projectiles. The Houthis have since threatened to blockade the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—critical for Red Sea shipping—if Gulf states aid the US, while affirming readiness for direct intervention. The US responded with airstrikes on March 29, using Tomahawk missiles from USS Carney to destroy three Houthi drone sites threatening commercial vessels. No additional US strikes reported since, though B-2 bomber sorties and 40,000 regional troops underscore escalation risks. Traders monitor Houthi provocations, diplomatic signals, and potential allied involvement ahead of any resolution timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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