Russia's rejection of Ukraine's Easter ceasefire proposal—delivered via U.S. mediators and dismissed as a PR stunt—coupled with subsequent drone strikes killing civilians and hitting infrastructure, has reinforced trader consensus against a halt in hostilities by June 30, 2027, pricing "No" at 62.5%. Stalled trilateral talks in Geneva earlier this year exposed irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donetsk areas as a precondition, while Kyiv rejects territorial concessions absent robust security guarantees. Russian frontline advances and statements signaling capacity to sustain operations into 2027 underscore persistent escalation signals, outweighing sporadic diplomatic overtures like Zelenskyy's readiness to meet Putin.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2027
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Russia's rejection of Ukraine's Easter ceasefire proposal—delivered via U.S. mediators and dismissed as a PR stunt—coupled with subsequent drone strikes killing civilians and hitting infrastructure, has reinforced trader consensus against a halt in hostilities by June 30, 2027, pricing "No" at 62.5%. Stalled trilateral talks in Geneva earlier this year exposed irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donetsk areas as a precondition, while Kyiv rejects territorial concessions absent robust security guarantees. Russian frontline advances and statements signaling capacity to sustain operations into 2027 underscore persistent escalation signals, outweighing sporadic diplomatic overtures like Zelenskyy's readiness to meet Putin.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,979Data de Término
30 jun 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Russia's rejection of Ukraine's Easter ceasefire proposal—delivered via U.S. mediators and dismissed as a PR stunt—coupled with subsequent drone strikes killing civilians and hitting infrastructure, has reinforced trader consensus against a halt in hostilities by June 30, 2027, pricing "No" at 62.5%. Stalled trilateral talks in Geneva earlier this year exposed irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donetsk areas as a precondition, while Kyiv rejects territorial concessions absent robust security guarantees. Russian frontline advances and statements signaling capacity to sustain operations into 2027 underscore persistent escalation signals, outweighing sporadic diplomatic overtures like Zelenskyy's readiness to meet Putin.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$3,979Data de Término
30 jun 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's rejection of Ukraine's Easter ceasefire proposal—delivered via U.S. mediators and dismissed as a PR stunt—coupled with subsequent drone strikes killing civilians and hitting infrastructure, has reinforced trader consensus against a halt in hostilities by June 30, 2027, pricing "No" at 62.5%. Stalled trilateral talks in Geneva earlier this year exposed irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donetsk areas as a precondition, while Kyiv rejects territorial concessions absent robust security guarantees. Russian frontline advances and statements signaling capacity to sustain operations into 2027 underscore persistent escalation signals, outweighing sporadic diplomatic overtures like Zelenskyy's readiness to meet Putin.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions