Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for QatarEnergy announcing or resuming LNG production in Qatar by April 30, driven by Iranian missile strikes on Ras Laffan facilities on March 2 and 18, 2026, which halted operations and destroyed trains representing 17% of capacity. QatarEnergy CEO Saad al-Kaabi stated repairs could take three to five years, prompting force majeure declarations on long-term contracts. Pre-attack, North Field East expansion timelines already slipped to late 2026 or 2027 due to construction delays. With no resumption updates or official restarts signaled in the past month amid persistent regional tensions, traders see significant barriers to any near-term production recovery.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$26,070 Vol.
$26,070 Vol.
$26,070 Vol.
$26,070 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for QatarEnergy announcing or resuming LNG production in Qatar by April 30, driven by Iranian missile strikes on Ras Laffan facilities on March 2 and 18, 2026, which halted operations and destroyed trains representing 17% of capacity. QatarEnergy CEO Saad al-Kaabi stated repairs could take three to five years, prompting force majeure declarations on long-term contracts. Pre-attack, North Field East expansion timelines already slipped to late 2026 or 2027 due to construction delays. With no resumption updates or official restarts signaled in the past month amid persistent regional tensions, traders see significant barriers to any near-term production recovery.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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