Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon

Name: Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon
Start: 2025-12-04T23:48:04.019Z
End: 2026-05-19T00:00:00.000Z

Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon

Christine Drazan 37%

Ed Diehl 31%

Chris Dudley 29%

Danielle Bethell 5.5%

$55,448 Vol.

May 19, 2026

Christine Drazan

$14,344 Vol.

37%

Ed Diehl

$2,937 Vol.

43%

Chris Dudley

$7,776 Vol.

22%

Danielle Bethell

$5,075 Vol.

Chael Sonnen

$9,479 Vol.

Kyle Duyck

$8,426 Vol.

Robert Neuman

$5,893 Vol.

Caleb Kintz

$1,517 Vol.

Brad T. Peters

$0 Vol.

<1%

David Medina

$0 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Kopke-Hales

$0 Vol.

<1%

Christine Drazan 37%

Ed Diehl 31%

Chris Dudley 29%

Danielle Bethell 5.5%

$55,448 Vol.

May 19, 2026

Christine Drazan

$14,344 Vol.

37%

Ed Diehl

$2,937 Vol.

43%

Chris Dudley

$7,776 Vol.

22%

Danielle Bethell

$5,075 Vol.

Chael Sonnen

$9,479 Vol.

Kyle Duyck

$8,426 Vol.

Robert Neuman

$5,893 Vol.

Caleb Kintz

$1,517 Vol.

Brad T. Peters

$0 Vol.

<1%

David Medina

$0 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Kopke-Hales

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trader consensus on the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary reflects a fragmented field, with Christine Drazan holding a slim 36.5% implied probability edge over Ed Diehl (31.5%) and Chris Dudley (28.5%), fueled by recent Emerson College polling showing all three in single digits of separation amid undecided voters exceeding 40%. Drazan's lead draws from her 2022 nominee name recognition and strong rural endorsements, Diehl's surge ties to Trump-aligned grassroots fundraising exceeding $1 million, and Dudley's staying power from prior statewide runs. The race stays tight due to split MAGA and establishment support; separation likely from imminent candidate debates, Q1 finance reports, or a high-profile national endorsement before the May 2026 primary.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 22, 2026, 2:43 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ed Diehl" at 43%, followed by "Christine Drazan" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" has generated $55.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" is "Ed Diehl" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Christine Drazan" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $55.4K traded on “Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 43¢ for "Ed Diehl" in the "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 43% chance that "Ed Diehl" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 43¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 57¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 19, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" market has a growing discussion of 3 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (3)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

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