Recent polls, including a March survey showing former Sen. Sherrod Brown leading interim Sen. Jon Husted by a small margin, have solidified trader consensus at 53.5% for Democrat and 44.5% for Republican in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election to replace Vice President JD Vance. This battleground race remains tight due to Ohio's rightward shift in 2024—where Trump won by double digits—bolstering Husted's incumbency advantage and GOP base support, offset by Brown's proven appeal to working-class voters and strengths on healthcare costs, a top concern in recent surveys. Midterm dynamics historically disadvantage the president's party, fueling Democratic optimism, while upcoming May 5 primaries, debates, and shifts in Trump approval or the economy could tip the balance toward separation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$60,935 Vol.
$60,935 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrata
54%
Republicano
45%
$60,935 Vol.
$60,935 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrata
$34,401 Vol.
54%
Republicano
$26,534 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls, including a March survey showing former Sen. Sherrod Brown leading interim Sen. Jon Husted by a small margin, have solidified trader consensus at 53.5% for Democrat and 44.5% for Republican in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election to replace Vice President JD Vance. This battleground race remains tight due to Ohio's rightward shift in 2024—where Trump won by double digits—bolstering Husted's incumbency advantage and GOP base support, offset by Brown's proven appeal to working-class voters and strengths on healthcare costs, a top concern in recent surveys. Midterm dynamics historically disadvantage the president's party, fueling Democratic optimism, while upcoming May 5 primaries, debates, and shifts in Trump approval or the economy could tip the balance toward separation.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$60,935Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls, including a March survey showing former Sen. Sherrod Brown leading interim Sen. Jon Husted by a small margin, have solidified trader consensus at 53.5% for Democrat and 44.5% for Republican in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election to replace Vice President JD Vance. This battleground race remains tight due to Ohio's rightward shift in 2024—where Trump won by double digits—bolstering Husted's incumbency advantage and GOP base support, offset by Brown's proven appeal to working-class voters and strengths on healthcare costs, a top concern in recent surveys. Midterm dynamics historically disadvantage the president's party, fueling Democratic optimism, while upcoming May 5 primaries, debates, and shifts in Trump approval or the economy could tip the balance toward separation.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$60,935Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including a March survey showing former Sen. Sherrod Brown leading interim Sen. Jon Husted by a small margin, have solidified trader consensus at 53.5% for Democrat and 44.5% for Republican in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election to replace Vice President JD Vance. This battleground race remains tight due to Ohio's rightward shift in 2024—where Trump won by double digits—bolstering Husted's incumbency advantage and GOP base support, offset by Brown's proven appeal to working-class voters and strengths on healthcare costs, a top concern in recent surveys. Midterm dynamics historically disadvantage the president's party, fueling Democratic optimism, while upcoming May 5 primaries, debates, and shifts in Trump approval or the economy could tip the balance toward separation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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