Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Luis Antonio Revilla as La Paz governor frontrunner at 52.3%, reflecting his edge in recent urban-focused polls amid Bolivia's departmental election dynamics, where incumbent Félix Patzi holds 42.7% on incumbency and highland support. The race stays competitive due to fragmented indigenous and MAS-aligned votes splitting among candidates like René Yahuasi Calamani and Santos Quispe Quispe, preventing clear separation, alongside regional divides between La Paz city's vecinalista base and rural Aymara strongholds. Recent catalysts include tightening surveys showing single-digit gaps and campaign rallies boosting Patzi's visibility; potential separators are final pre-election polls, key endorsements from Evo Morales factions, or debates highlighting governance records versus anti-corruption pledges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)
Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)
Luis Antonio Revilla 49.9%
Felix Patzi 22.7%
René Yahuasi Calamani 10.0%
Richard Andrés Gómez 6.9%
$15,344 Vol.
$15,344 Vol.
Luis Antonio Revilla
52%
Felix Patzi
42%
René Yahuasi Calamani
10%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
Santos Quispe Quispe
5%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
4%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Gualberto Cusi
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
Fidel Chura
5%
Luis Antonio Revilla 49.9%
Felix Patzi 22.7%
René Yahuasi Calamani 10.0%
Richard Andrés Gómez 6.9%
$15,344 Vol.
$15,344 Vol.
Luis Antonio Revilla
52%
Felix Patzi
42%
René Yahuasi Calamani
10%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
Santos Quispe Quispe
5%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
4%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Gualberto Cusi
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
Fidel Chura
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Luis Antonio Revilla as La Paz governor frontrunner at 52.3%, reflecting his edge in recent urban-focused polls amid Bolivia's departmental election dynamics, where incumbent Félix Patzi holds 42.7% on incumbency and highland support. The race stays competitive due to fragmented indigenous and MAS-aligned votes splitting among candidates like René Yahuasi Calamani and Santos Quispe Quispe, preventing clear separation, alongside regional divides between La Paz city's vecinalista base and rural Aymara strongholds. Recent catalysts include tightening surveys showing single-digit gaps and campaign rallies boosting Patzi's visibility; potential separators are final pre-election polls, key endorsements from Evo Morales factions, or debates highlighting governance records versus anti-corruption pledges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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