Israeli drone strike in eastern Gaza City's Al-Tuffah neighborhood killed three Palestinians today, confirming ongoing military action amid a fragile October ceasefire violated repeatedly by airstrikes, artillery shelling, and tank fire. Gaza health officials report over 680 Palestinian deaths since the truce, with IDF operations targeting Hamas operatives, including strikes in northern Gaza on April 3 and southern areas earlier. Israel sealed all Gaza crossings on February 28 amid escalating US-Israel strikes on Iran, tightening blockades and humanitarian restrictions. Trader consensus reflects persistent low-intensity engagements driven by militant threats, with potential for de-escalation via hostage talks or escalation from rocket fire, though regional focus on Iran-Lebanon fronts may limit Gaza-scale operations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAção militar de Israel contra Gaza em...?
Ação militar de Israel contra Gaza em...?
$1,711,269 Vol.
31 mar 2026
March 18
Yes
March 19
Yes
March 20
No
March 21
No
March 22
Yes
March 23
No
March 24
Yes
March 25
Yes
March 26
No
March 27
No
March 28
No
March 29
Yes
March 30
Yes
March 31
Yes
$1,711,269 Vol.
March 18
$0 Vol.
Yes
March 19
$0 Vol.
Yes
March 20
$0 Vol.
No
March 21
$552,552 Vol.
No
March 22
$0 Vol.
Yes
March 23
$19,182 Vol.
No
March 24
$0 Vol.
Yes
March 25
$0 Vol.
Yes
March 26
$77,984 Vol.
No
March 27
$89,132 Vol.
No
March 28
$714,901 Vol.
No
March 29
$58,869 Vol.
Yes
March 30
$64,223 Vol.
Yes
March 31
$134,425 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil between market creation and 11:59 PM on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli drone strike in eastern Gaza City's Al-Tuffah neighborhood killed three Palestinians today, confirming ongoing military action amid a fragile October ceasefire violated repeatedly by airstrikes, artillery shelling, and tank fire. Gaza health officials report over 680 Palestinian deaths since the truce, with IDF operations targeting Hamas operatives, including strikes in northern Gaza on April 3 and southern areas earlier. Israel sealed all Gaza crossings on February 28 amid escalating US-Israel strikes on Iran, tightening blockades and humanitarian restrictions. Trader consensus reflects persistent low-intensity engagements driven by militant threats, with potential for de-escalation via hostage talks or escalation from rocket fire, though regional focus on Iran-Lebanon fronts may limit Gaza-scale operations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil between market creation and 11:59 PM on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 17, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,711,269Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 17, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Yes
Contestado
Resultado proposto: Yes
Contestado
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil between market creation and 11:59 PM on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli drone strike in eastern Gaza City's Al-Tuffah neighborhood killed three Palestinians today, confirming ongoing military action amid a fragile October ceasefire violated repeatedly by airstrikes, artillery shelling, and tank fire. Gaza health officials report over 680 Palestinian deaths since the truce, with IDF operations targeting Hamas operatives, including strikes in northern Gaza on April 3 and southern areas earlier. Israel sealed all Gaza crossings on February 28 amid escalating US-Israel strikes on Iran, tightening blockades and humanitarian restrictions. Trader consensus reflects persistent low-intensity engagements driven by militant threats, with potential for de-escalation via hostage talks or escalation from rocket fire, though regional focus on Iran-Lebanon fronts may limit Gaza-scale operations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil between market creation and 11:59 PM on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$1,711,269Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 17, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Yes
Contestado
Resultado proposto: Yes
Contestado
Resultado final: Yes
Israeli drone strike in eastern Gaza City's Al-Tuffah neighborhood killed three Palestinians today, confirming ongoing military action amid a fragile October ceasefire violated repeatedly by airstrikes, artillery shelling, and tank fire. Gaza health officials report over 680 Palestinian deaths since the truce, with IDF operations targeting Hamas operatives, including strikes in northern Gaza on April 3 and southern areas earlier. Israel sealed all Gaza crossings on February 28 amid escalating US-Israel strikes on Iran, tightening blockades and humanitarian restrictions. Trader consensus reflects persistent low-intensity engagements driven by militant threats, with potential for de-escalation via hostage talks or escalation from rocket fire, though regional focus on Iran-Lebanon fronts may limit Gaza-scale operations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions