IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Q: What is the "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" prediction market?

"IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "La Shawn Ford" at 100%, followed by "Richard Boykin" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

Q: How much trading activity has "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" generated on Polymarket?

As of today, "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $16.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

Q: How do I trade on "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas"?

To trade on "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

Q: What are the current odds for "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas"?

The current frontrunner for "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "La Shawn Ford" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Richard Boykin" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

Q: How will "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" be resolved?

The resolution rules for "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Q: Can I follow "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" without placing a trade?

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Q: Why are Polymarket's odds for "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" considered reliable?

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $16.4K traded on "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket's prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

Q: How do I start trading on "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas"?

To place your first trade on "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

Q: What does a price of 100¢ for "La Shawn Ford" mean?

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "La Shawn Ford" in the "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "La Shawn Ford" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

Q: When does the "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" market close?

The "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

Eleições·Illinois

IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

La Shawn Ford 100.0%

Richard Boykin <1%

Kina Collins <1%

Melissa Conyears Ervin <1%

$16,420 Vol.

Mar 17, 2026

Richard Boykin

$0 Vol.

Não

Kina Collins

$0 Vol.

Não

Melissa Conyears Ervin

$16,420 Vol.

Não

Anthony Driver Jr.

$0 Vol.

Não

David Ehrlich

$0 Vol.

Não

Thomas Fisher

$0 Vol.

Não

La Shawn Ford

$0 Vol.

Sim

Jason Friedman

$0 Vol.

Não

Rory Hoskins

$0 Vol.

Não

Anabel Mendoza

$0 Vol.

Não

Jazmin Robinson

$0 Vol.

Não

Reed Showalter

$0 Vol.

Não

Felix Tello

$0 Vol.

Não

La Shawn Ford 100.0%

Richard Boykin <1%

Kina Collins <1%

Melissa Conyears Ervin <1%

$16,420 Vol.

Mar 17, 2026

Richard Boykin

$0 Vol.

Não

Kina Collins

$0 Vol.

Não

Melissa Conyears Ervin

$16,420 Vol.

Não

Anthony Driver Jr.

$0 Vol.

Não

David Ehrlich

$0 Vol.

Não

Thomas Fisher

$0 Vol.

Não

La Shawn Ford

$0 Vol.

Sim

Jason Friedman

$0 Vol.

Não

Rory Hoskins

$0 Vol.

Não

Anabel Mendoza

$0 Vol.

Não

Jazmin Robinson

$0 Vol.

Não

Reed Showalter

$0 Vol.

Não

Felix Tello

$0 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

State Rep. La Shawn Ford dominates trader consensus at 100% implied probability to win the open IL-07 Democratic primary, following Rep. Danny Davis's January 2025 retirement announcement and subsequent endorsement of Ford as his successor. This kingmaker nod from the 15-term incumbent, combined with Ford's early fundraising edge—over $250,000 raised—and a February SLF Strategies poll showing him at 37% versus 12% for nearest rival Richard Boykin, has locked in his frontrunner status among a crowded field including Kina Collins and Melissa Conyears-Ervin. Challenges could arise from a high-profile entrant like a county commissioner consolidating progressive support, a Ford scandal, or shifting polls ahead of the March 2026 primary.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 18, 2026, 9:26 AM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "La Shawn Ford" at 100%, followed by "Richard Boykin" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $16.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "La Shawn Ford" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Richard Boykin" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $16.4K traded on “IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "La Shawn Ford" in the "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "La Shawn Ford" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

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Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas"?

What are the current odds for "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas"?

How will "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" be resolved?

Can I follow "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas"?

What does a price of 100¢ for "La Shawn Ford" mean?

When does the "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" market close?

What are traders saying about "IL-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas"?

What is Polymarket?