**Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 42.5%, reflecting skepticism over the Trump administration's new immigration program's rollout amid legal challenges and weak demand.** Launched via executive action in December 2025 with USCIS Form I-140G for applications, the $1 million individual fee (or $2 million corporate) for expedited permanent residency has drawn lawsuits, including a February federal challenge arguing it unlawfully prioritizes wealth over merit. A March Barron's analysis highlighted its uncompetitiveness against the cheaper EB-5 investor visa, with no verified 2026 issuances despite early $1.3 billion sales claims tied to processing fees. Low volumes like 1-100 cards at 18% imply potential trickle if courts clear hurdles, but processing delays and high barriers sustain doubts on scaling. Upcoming rulings could shift probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQuantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?
Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?
0 49%
1-100 18.1%
10k-25k 7.1%
25 mil-100 mil 6.7%
$131,006 Vol.
$131,006 Vol.
31 dez 2026
0
44%
1-100
18%
101-1k
4%
1k-2,5k
6%
2,5 mil-5 mil
5%
5 mil-10 mil
6%
10k-25k
7%
25 mil-100 mil
7%
>100 mil
4%
0 49%
1-100 18.1%
10k-25k 7.1%
25 mil-100 mil 6.7%
$131,006 Vol.
$131,006 Vol.
31 dez 2026
0
$26,131 Vol.
44%
1-100
$10,397 Vol.
18%
101-1k
$5,023 Vol.
4%
1k-2,5k
$7,518 Vol.
6%
2,5 mil-5 mil
$4,432 Vol.
5%
5 mil-10 mil
$4,832 Vol.
6%
10k-25k
$54,356 Vol.
7%
25 mil-100 mil
$4,367 Vol.
7%
>100 mil
$13,950 Vol.
4%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 42.5%, reflecting skepticism over the Trump administration's new immigration program's rollout amid legal challenges and weak demand.** Launched via executive action in December 2025 with USCIS Form I-140G for applications, the $1 million individual fee (or $2 million corporate) for expedited permanent residency has drawn lawsuits, including a February federal challenge arguing it unlawfully prioritizes wealth over merit. A March Barron's analysis highlighted its uncompetitiveness against the cheaper EB-5 investor visa, with no verified 2026 issuances despite early $1.3 billion sales claims tied to processing fees. Low volumes like 1-100 cards at 18% imply potential trickle if courts clear hurdles, but processing delays and high barriers sustain doubts on scaling. Upcoming rulings could shift probabilities.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$131,006Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 42.5%, reflecting skepticism over the Trump administration's new immigration program's rollout amid legal challenges and weak demand.** Launched via executive action in December 2025 with USCIS Form I-140G for applications, the $1 million individual fee (or $2 million corporate) for expedited permanent residency has drawn lawsuits, including a February federal challenge arguing it unlawfully prioritizes wealth over merit. A March Barron's analysis highlighted its uncompetitiveness against the cheaper EB-5 investor visa, with no verified 2026 issuances despite early $1.3 billion sales claims tied to processing fees. Low volumes like 1-100 cards at 18% imply potential trickle if courts clear hurdles, but processing delays and high barriers sustain doubts on scaling. Upcoming rulings could shift probabilities.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$131,006Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 42.5%, reflecting skepticism over the Trump administration's new immigration program's rollout amid legal challenges and weak demand.** Launched via executive action in December 2025 with USCIS Form I-140G for applications, the $1 million individual fee (or $2 million corporate) for expedited permanent residency has drawn lawsuits, including a February federal challenge arguing it unlawfully prioritizes wealth over merit. A March Barron's analysis highlighted its uncompetitiveness against the cheaper EB-5 investor visa, with no verified 2026 issuances despite early $1.3 billion sales claims tied to processing fees. Low volumes like 1-100 cards at 18% imply potential trickle if courts clear hurdles, but processing delays and high barriers sustain doubts on scaling. Upcoming rulings could shift probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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