Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA data at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, aligning with pre-event consensus from ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS. These models projected limited daytime warming under partly cloudy skies, morning lows near 13°C, and light winds capping insolation, consistent with late-March climatological norms for the region where average highs hover around 19–20°C. Trader sentiment locked in at 100% implied probability on this outcome as final measurements validated forecasts, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time meteorological data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare data revisions from station audits or disputes over rounding to whole degrees Celsius.[[1]](https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/israel/tel-aviv/historic)[[2]](https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-march-27-2026)
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?
19°C 100.0%
13°C ou menos <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$88,103 Vol.
$88,103 Vol.
13°C ou menos
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Sim
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C ou mais
Não
19°C 100.0%
13°C ou menos <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$88,103 Vol.
$88,103 Vol.
13°C ou menos
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Sim
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA data at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, aligning with pre-event consensus from ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS. These models projected limited daytime warming under partly cloudy skies, morning lows near 13°C, and light winds capping insolation, consistent with late-March climatological norms for the region where average highs hover around 19–20°C. Trader sentiment locked in at 100% implied probability on this outcome as final measurements validated forecasts, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time meteorological data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare data revisions from station audits or disputes over rounding to whole degrees Celsius.[[1]](https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/israel/tel-aviv/historic)[[2]](https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-march-27-2026)
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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