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Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?

19°C 100.0%

13°C ou menos <1%

14°C <1%

15°C <1%

Polymarket

$88,103 Vol.

19°C 100.0%

13°C ou menos <1%

14°C <1%

15°C <1%

Polymarket

$88,103 Vol.

13°C ou menos

$3,932 Vol.

Não

14°C

$1,909 Vol.

Não

15°C

$2,787 Vol.

Não

16°C

$4,415 Vol.

Não

17°C

$7,196 Vol.

Não

18°C

$18,438 Vol.

Não

19°C

$21,054 Vol.

Sim

20°C

$9,760 Vol.

Não

21°C

$7,634 Vol.

Não

22°C

$6,678 Vol.

Não

23°C ou mais

$4,299 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA data at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, aligning with pre-event consensus from ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS. These models projected limited daytime warming under partly cloudy skies, morning lows near 13°C, and light winds capping insolation, consistent with late-March climatological norms for the region where average highs hover around 19–20°C. Trader sentiment locked in at 100% implied probability on this outcome as final measurements validated forecasts, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time meteorological data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare data revisions from station audits or disputes over rounding to whole degrees Celsius.[[1]](https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/israel/tel-aviv/historic)[[2]](https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-march-27-2026)

Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA data at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, aligning with pre-event consensus from ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS. These models projected limited daytime warming under partly cloudy skies, morning lows near 13°C, and light winds capping insolation, consistent with late-March climatological norms for the region where average highs hover around 19–20°C. Trader sentiment locked in at 100% implied probability on this outcome as final measurements validated forecasts, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time meteorological data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare data revisions from station audits or disputes over rounding to whole degrees Celsius.[[1]](https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/israel/tel-aviv/historic)[[2]](https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-march-27-2026)

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA data at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, aligning with pre-event consensus from ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS. These models projected limited daytime warming under partly cloudy skies, morning lows near 13°C, and light winds capping insolation, consistent with late-March climatological norms for the region where average highs hover around 19–20°C. Trader sentiment locked in at 100% implied probability on this outcome as final measurements validated forecasts, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time meteorological data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare data revisions from station audits or disputes over rounding to whole degrees Celsius.[[1]](https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/israel/tel-aviv/historic)[[2]](https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-march-27-2026)

Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA data at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, aligning with pre-event consensus from ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS. These models projected limited daytime warming under partly cloudy skies, morning lows near 13°C, and light winds capping insolation, consistent with late-March climatological norms for the region where average highs hover around 19–20°C. Trader sentiment locked in at 100% implied probability on this outcome as final measurements validated forecasts, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time meteorological data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare data revisions from station audits or disputes over rounding to whole degrees Celsius.[[1]](https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/israel/tel-aviv/historic)[[2]](https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-march-27-2026)

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "19°C" at 100%, followed by "13°C ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?" has generated $88.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?" is "19°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "13°C ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.