Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 8, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Israel Meteorological Service guidance showing peaks near 20°C amid mild spring conditions. Slightly below early-April climatological averages of 22°C, current odds differentiate based on model spread in cloud cover—ECMWF leans drier for potential 21°C upside, while GFS hints at increased westerlies fostering sea-breeze moderation toward 19°C. Upper-air patterns favor stable highs without heat advection, though inherent short-range uncertainty persists; watch daily 00z/12z model updates and IMS bulletins through April 7 for refinements ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 8?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 8?
19°C 26%
20°C 26%
18°C 21%
21°C 20%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
21%
19°C
27%
20°C
24%
21°C
20%
22°C
17%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
19°C 26%
20°C 26%
18°C 21%
21°C 20%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
21%
19°C
27%
20°C
24%
21°C
20%
22°C
17%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 8, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Israel Meteorological Service guidance showing peaks near 20°C amid mild spring conditions. Slightly below early-April climatological averages of 22°C, current odds differentiate based on model spread in cloud cover—ECMWF leans drier for potential 21°C upside, while GFS hints at increased westerlies fostering sea-breeze moderation toward 19°C. Upper-air patterns favor stable highs without heat advection, though inherent short-range uncertainty persists; watch daily 00z/12z model updates and IMS bulletins through April 7 for refinements ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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