Trader consensus has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Taipei on March 20, driven by official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA), which recorded a peak of 23°C at the Taipei station amid typical early spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds suppressing highs. March averages in Taipei hover around 22-24°C, aligning with this outcome and recent model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS that projected 22-24°C amid stable La Niña influences. Scenarios challenging this include a post hoc data revision from auxiliary stations or rare microclimate anomalies, though CWA's rigorous quality controls make such shifts improbable, cementing the market's certainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei em 20 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Taipei em 20 de março?
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20 °C <1%
$13,632 Vol.
$13,632 Vol.
18°C ou menos
Não
19°C
Não
20 °C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20 °C <1%
$13,632 Vol.
$13,632 Vol.
18°C ou menos
Não
19°C
Não
20 °C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Taipei on March 20, driven by official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA), which recorded a peak of 23°C at the Taipei station amid typical early spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds suppressing highs. March averages in Taipei hover around 22-24°C, aligning with this outcome and recent model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS that projected 22-24°C amid stable La Niña influences. Scenarios challenging this include a post hoc data revision from auxiliary stations or rare microclimate anomalies, though CWA's rigorous quality controls make such shifts improbable, cementing the market's certainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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