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Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

11°C 74.4%

12°C 16%

13°C 8.4%

14°C 3.9%

Polymarket

$398,536 Vol.

11°C 74.4%

12°C 16%

13°C 8.4%

14°C 3.9%

Polymarket

$398,536 Vol.

10°C

$66,238 Vol.

<1%

11°C

$32,839 Vol.

74%

12°C

$23,830 Vol.

16%

13°C

$27,951 Vol.

8%

14°C

$28,127 Vol.

4%

15°C

$36,663 Vol.

2%

16°C

$31,278 Vol.

<1%

17°C

$28,071 Vol.

<1%

18°C or higher

$31,483 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an 11°C high temperature in Seoul today at 79% implied probability, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations of morning temperatures around 5°C amid haze, 67% humidity, and light SSE winds at 1.3 m/s. These conditions cap diurnal heating, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS converging on a narrow 11-12°C peak in early afternoon due to persistent cloud cover and a cool air mass. March climatology averages 12°C highs, but recent 24-hour model updates shifted cooler after overnight lows near 3°C at Gimpo International Airport, the market's resolution station. Watch KMA's 5 PM update for final hourly trends.

Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an 11°C high temperature in Seoul today at 79% implied probability, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations of morning temperatures around 5°C amid haze, 67% humidity, and light SSE winds at 1.3 m/s. These conditions cap diurnal heating, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS converging on a narrow 11-12°C peak in early afternoon due to persistent cloud cover and a cool air mass. March climatology averages 12°C highs, but recent 24-hour model updates shifted cooler after overnight lows near 3°C at Gimpo International Airport, the market's resolution station. Watch KMA's 5 PM update for final hourly trends.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an 11°C high temperature in Seoul today at 79% implied probability, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations of morning temperatures around 5°C amid haze, 67% humidity, and light SSE winds at 1.3 m/s. These conditions cap diurnal heating, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS converging on a narrow 11-12°C peak in early afternoon due to persistent cloud cover and a cool air mass. March climatology averages 12°C highs, but recent 24-hour model updates shifted cooler after overnight lows near 3°C at Gimpo International Airport, the market's resolution station. Watch KMA's 5 PM update for final hourly trends.

Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an 11°C high temperature in Seoul today at 79% implied probability, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations of morning temperatures around 5°C amid haze, 67% humidity, and light SSE winds at 1.3 m/s. These conditions cap diurnal heating, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS converging on a narrow 11-12°C peak in early afternoon due to persistent cloud cover and a cool air mass. March climatology averages 12°C highs, but recent 24-hour model updates shifted cooler after overnight lows near 3°C at Gimpo International Airport, the market's resolution station. Watch KMA's 5 PM update for final hourly trends.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "11°C" at 74%, followed by "12°C" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?" has generated $398.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?" is "11°C" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12°C" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.