Incumbent Sen. Jon Ossoff's early polling dominance over potential Republican challengers anchors trader consensus at 82.5% for a Democratic victory in Georgia's 2026 Senate race. The Emerson College poll from late February to early March showed Ossoff leading Rep. Buddy Carter 47%-44%, Rep. Mike Collins 48%-43%, and Derek Dooley 49%-41% among likely voters, nearing 50% support with advantages among independents, voters under 50, and women. GOP primary leader Collins heads a fragmented field ahead of the May 19 primaries. While polls suggest a competitive matchup potentially requiring a runoff, markets reflect Ossoff's incumbency edge and Georgia's history of narrow Democratic Senate holds in recent cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$19,925 Vol.
$19,925 Vol.

Democrata
83%

Republicano
17%
$19,925 Vol.
$19,925 Vol.

Democrata
83%

Republicano
17%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Jon Ossoff's early polling dominance over potential Republican challengers anchors trader consensus at 82.5% for a Democratic victory in Georgia's 2026 Senate race. The Emerson College poll from late February to early March showed Ossoff leading Rep. Buddy Carter 47%-44%, Rep. Mike Collins 48%-43%, and Derek Dooley 49%-41% among likely voters, nearing 50% support with advantages among independents, voters under 50, and women. GOP primary leader Collins heads a fragmented field ahead of the May 19 primaries. While polls suggest a competitive matchup potentially requiring a runoff, markets reflect Ossoff's incumbency edge and Georgia's history of narrow Democratic Senate holds in recent cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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