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Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?

Market icon

Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?

Clayton Fuller 96.5%

Shawn Harris 3.7%

Colton Moore <1%

Chuck Hufstetler <1%

Polymarket

$231,498 Vol.

Clayton Fuller 96.5%

Shawn Harris 3.7%

Colton Moore <1%

Chuck Hufstetler <1%

Polymarket

$231,498 Vol.

Clayton Fuller

$58,514 Vol.

97%

Shawn Harris

$101,255 Vol.

4%

Colton Moore

$19,678 Vol.

<1%

Chuck Hufstetler

$3,071 Vol.

<1%

Katie Dempsey

$6,226 Vol.

<1%

Jason Anavitarte

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jeff Criswell

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Strahan

$3,546 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Flowers

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tyler Paul Smith

$0 Vol.

<1%

Trey Kelley

$3,428 Vol.

<1%

Rob Ruszkowski

$8,898 Vol.

<1%

Holly McCormack

$0 Vol.

<1%

Brian Stover

$0 Vol.

<1%

John Cowan

$4,217 Vol.

<1%

Kasey Carpenter

$3,858 Vol.

<1%

Star Black

$7,222 Vol.

<1%

Laura Loomer

$0 Vol.

<1%

Elvis Casely

$4,549 Vol.

<1%

Martin Momtahan

$0 Vol.

<1%

Matt Barton

$3,273 Vol.

<1%

Uloma Ekpete Kama

$3,764 Vol.

<1%

Clarence Blalock

$0 Vol.

<1%

Eddie Lumsden

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff election set for April 7, Republican Clayton Fuller commands 96.5% trader consensus as the favored successor to resigned Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, driven by the district's R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index—its most Republican in the state—and GOP consolidation after the fragmented March 10 primary where Fuller took 34.9% amid 16 Republican rivals splitting votes behind Democrat Shawn Harris's 37.3%. Trump's endorsement, Club for Growth backing, and Fuller's local district attorney record bolster his position in this safe Republican seat, with early voting concluding April 2 showing steady turnout. Late challenges could arise from Democratic overperformance, low GOP mobilization, or scandals, though historical base rates in deep-red districts suggest slim odds of an upset.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Volume
$231,498
Data de Término
15 fev 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff election set for April 7, Republican Clayton Fuller commands 96.5% trader consensus as the favored successor to resigned Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, driven by the district's R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index—its most Republican in the state—and GOP consolidation after the fragmented March 10 primary where Fuller took 34.9% amid 16 Republican rivals splitting votes behind Democrat Shawn Harris's 37.3%. Trump's endorsement, Club for Growth backing, and Fuller's local district attorney record bolster his position in this safe Republican seat, with early voting concluding April 2 showing steady turnout. Late challenges could arise from Democratic overperformance, low GOP mobilization, or scandals, though historical base rates in deep-red districts suggest slim odds of an upset.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Volume
$231,498
Data de Término
15 fev 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Clayton Fuller" at 97%, followed by "Shawn Harris" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?" has generated $231.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?" is "Clayton Fuller" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shawn Harris" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.