Incumbent Republican Mario Diaz-Balart anchors trader consensus for the Florida 26th congressional district, where the seat carries a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and would have supported the GOP presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles. Diaz-Balart filed for the August 18 primary with over $1.5 million raised and faces minimal opposition, while Democratic primary contenders remain low-profile. Redistricting adjusted the district's partisan voting index to roughly R+7 yet preserved its core conservative base across Miami-Dade and Collier counties. With the general election set for November 3 and no major national or local shifts reported in recent weeks, these structural and candidate factors sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa FL-26
Vencedor da eleição da casa FL-26
$28,863 Vol.
$28,863 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
15%
$28,863 Vol.
$28,863 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$13,394 Vol.
82%
Democratic Party
$15,469 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Diaz-Balart anchors trader consensus for the Florida 26th congressional district, where the seat carries a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and would have supported the GOP presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles. Diaz-Balart filed for the August 18 primary with over $1.5 million raised and faces minimal opposition, while Democratic primary contenders remain low-profile. Redistricting adjusted the district's partisan voting index to roughly R+7 yet preserved its core conservative base across Miami-Dade and Collier counties. With the general election set for November 3 and no major national or local shifts reported in recent weeks, these structural and candidate factors sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$28,863Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Diaz-Balart anchors trader consensus for the Florida 26th congressional district, where the seat carries a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and would have supported the GOP presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles. Diaz-Balart filed for the August 18 primary with over $1.5 million raised and faces minimal opposition, while Democratic primary contenders remain low-profile. Redistricting adjusted the district's partisan voting index to roughly R+7 yet preserved its core conservative base across Miami-Dade and Collier counties. With the general election set for November 3 and no major national or local shifts reported in recent weeks, these structural and candidate factors sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,863Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mario Diaz-Balart anchors trader consensus for the Florida 26th congressional district, where the seat carries a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and would have supported the GOP presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles. Diaz-Balart filed for the August 18 primary with over $1.5 million raised and faces minimal opposition, while Democratic primary contenders remain low-profile. Redistricting adjusted the district's partisan voting index to roughly R+7 yet preserved its core conservative base across Miami-Dade and Collier counties. With the general election set for November 3 and no major national or local shifts reported in recent weeks, these structural and candidate factors sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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