Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the June 2 primary and November general election, backed by the seat's post-redistricting partisan lean that delivered a 10-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and the absence of a unified Republican challenger capable of mounting a credible general-election contest against the first-term representative. Trader consensus prices reflect this structural edge, with limited polling or fundraising data suggesting any near-term shift. A late surge by a consolidated GOP field, an unexpected national political wave, or a major scandal involving the incumbent remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before voters decide.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-47
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-47
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
93%
Partido Republicano
6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$1,162 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$6,700 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the June 2 primary and November general election, backed by the seat's post-redistricting partisan lean that delivered a 10-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and the absence of a unified Republican challenger capable of mounting a credible general-election contest against the first-term representative. Trader consensus prices reflect this structural edge, with limited polling or fundraising data suggesting any near-term shift. A late surge by a consolidated GOP field, an unexpected national political wave, or a major scandal involving the incumbent remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$7,862Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the June 2 primary and November general election, backed by the seat's post-redistricting partisan lean that delivered a 10-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and the absence of a unified Republican challenger capable of mounting a credible general-election contest against the first-term representative. Trader consensus prices reflect this structural edge, with limited polling or fundraising data suggesting any near-term shift. A late surge by a consolidated GOP field, an unexpected national political wave, or a major scandal involving the incumbent remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,862Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the June 2 primary and November general election, backed by the seat's post-redistricting partisan lean that delivered a 10-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and the absence of a unified Republican challenger capable of mounting a credible general-election contest against the first-term representative. Trader consensus prices reflect this structural edge, with limited polling or fundraising data suggesting any near-term shift. A late surge by a consolidated GOP field, an unexpected national political wave, or a major scandal involving the incumbent remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before voters decide.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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