California’s 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic partisan leans in the country, reflected in consistent presidential voting margins exceeding 80 percent and a D+39 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent Representative Lateefah Simon holds a clear edge in the June 2 top-two primary against fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, bolstered by substantial fundraising and cash reserves while the only Republican candidate withdrew earlier. With the general election set for November 3, these structural factors underpin trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could still alter the result include a late primary upset, a major scandal involving both Democratic candidates, or an unanticipated national Republican wave that overcomes the district’s entrenched voting patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-12
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-12
$33,778 Vol.
$33,778 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$33,778 Vol.
$33,778 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$20,165 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$13,612 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic partisan leans in the country, reflected in consistent presidential voting margins exceeding 80 percent and a D+39 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent Representative Lateefah Simon holds a clear edge in the June 2 top-two primary against fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, bolstered by substantial fundraising and cash reserves while the only Republican candidate withdrew earlier. With the general election set for November 3, these structural factors underpin trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could still alter the result include a late primary upset, a major scandal involving both Democratic candidates, or an unanticipated national Republican wave that overcomes the district’s entrenched voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$33,778Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic partisan leans in the country, reflected in consistent presidential voting margins exceeding 80 percent and a D+39 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent Representative Lateefah Simon holds a clear edge in the June 2 top-two primary against fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, bolstered by substantial fundraising and cash reserves while the only Republican candidate withdrew earlier. With the general election set for November 3, these structural factors underpin trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could still alter the result include a late primary upset, a major scandal involving both Democratic candidates, or an unanticipated national Republican wave that overcomes the district’s entrenched voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,778Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic partisan leans in the country, reflected in consistent presidential voting margins exceeding 80 percent and a D+39 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent Representative Lateefah Simon holds a clear edge in the June 2 top-two primary against fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, bolstered by substantial fundraising and cash reserves while the only Republican candidate withdrew earlier. With the general election set for November 3, these structural factors underpin trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could still alter the result include a late primary upset, a major scandal involving both Democratic candidates, or an unanticipated national Republican wave that overcomes the district’s entrenched voting patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions