The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District for the November 3, 2026, general election, yet the race remains structurally favorable to Republicans given the district's R+7 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. A crowded Republican primary with 13 candidates on June 9 offers the party options to select a strong nominee, while 11 Democrats compete in their primary seeking to capitalize on the vacancy. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the balance in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus on a Republican winner at 65.5% and Democratic prospects at 27.5% as the primary campaigns intensify ahead of the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NV-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa NV-02
$17,217 Vol.
$17,217 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
66%
Partido Democrata
28%
$17,217 Vol.
$17,217 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,165 Vol.
66%
Partido Democrata
$6,052 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District for the November 3, 2026, general election, yet the race remains structurally favorable to Republicans given the district's R+7 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. A crowded Republican primary with 13 candidates on June 9 offers the party options to select a strong nominee, while 11 Democrats compete in their primary seeking to capitalize on the vacancy. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the balance in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus on a Republican winner at 65.5% and Democratic prospects at 27.5% as the primary campaigns intensify ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$17,217Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District for the November 3, 2026, general election, yet the race remains structurally favorable to Republicans given the district's R+7 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. A crowded Republican primary with 13 candidates on June 9 offers the party options to select a strong nominee, while 11 Democrats compete in their primary seeking to capitalize on the vacancy. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the balance in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus on a Republican winner at 65.5% and Democratic prospects at 27.5% as the primary campaigns intensify ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,217Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District for the November 3, 2026, general election, yet the race remains structurally favorable to Republicans given the district's R+7 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. A crowded Republican primary with 13 candidates on June 9 offers the party options to select a strong nominee, while 11 Democrats compete in their primary seeking to capitalize on the vacancy. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the balance in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus on a Republican winner at 65.5% and Democratic prospects at 27.5% as the primary campaigns intensify ahead of the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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