<$250b 100.0%
$250-500b <1%
$500-750b <1%
$750b-1T <1%
$2,914,931 Vol.
$2,914,931 Vol.
30 jun 2025
<$250b
Yes
$250-500b
No
$500-750b
No
$750b-1T
No
$1-2T
No
>$2T
No
<$250b 100.0%
$250-500b <1%
$500-750b <1%
$750b-1T <1%
$2,914,931 Vol.
$2,914,931 Vol.
30 jun 2025
<$250b
$742,914 Vol.
Yes
$250-500b
$198,270 Vol.
No
$500-750b
$160,658 Vol.
No
$750b-1T
$604,875 Vol.
No
$1-2T
$444,793 Vol.
No
>$2T
$763,420 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by less than $250,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $250,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $500,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $500,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $750,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $750,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $1,000,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $1,000,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $2,000,000,000,000 (inclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by more than $2,000,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by less than $250,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by less than $250,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 30, 2024, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$2,914,931Data de Término
30 jun 2025Mercado Aberto
Dec 30, 2024, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by less than $250,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $250,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $500,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $500,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $750,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $750,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $1,000,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $1,000,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $2,000,000,000,000 (inclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by more than $2,000,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by less than $250,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by less than $250,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Volume
$2,914,931Data de Término
30 jun 2025Mercado Aberto
Dec 30, 2024, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions