Gavin Newsom commands 24.6% trader consensus for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his executive record as California governor, robust fundraising machine, and national media offensive positioning him as a pragmatic alternative post-2024. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on progressive star power and youth appeal, while Jon Ossoff's 6.3% highlights his Georgia battleground success and Senate rising-star status; Kamala Harris lags at 5% amid vice-presidential reevaluation. In this wide-open primary field, key differentiators include regional strength, ideological lane, and donor networks—consolidation likely from 2026 midterm wins, early cash hauls, or scandals shifting the fragmented donor base toward viable general-election contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCandidato presidencial democrata 2028
Candidato presidencial democrata 2028
Gavin Newsom 24.6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Jon Ossoff 6.3%
Kamala Harris 5.1%
$893,560,619 Vol.
$893,560,619 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
25%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Kamala Harris
5%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

Josh Shapiro
4%

J.B. Pritzker
3%

Andy Beshear
2%

Mark Kelly
2%

James Talarico
2%

Jon Stewart
2%

Ruben Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
2%

Liz Cheney
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

LeBron James
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

John Fetterman
1%

Barack Obama
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

MrBeast
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

George Clooney
1%

Jared Polis
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%
Gavin Newsom 24.6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Jon Ossoff 6.3%
Kamala Harris 5.1%
$893,560,619 Vol.
$893,560,619 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
25%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Kamala Harris
5%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

Josh Shapiro
4%

J.B. Pritzker
3%

Andy Beshear
2%

Mark Kelly
2%

James Talarico
2%

Jon Stewart
2%

Ruben Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
2%

Liz Cheney
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

LeBron James
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

John Fetterman
1%

Barack Obama
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

MrBeast
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

George Clooney
1%

Jared Polis
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET
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0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
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0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Gavin Newsom commands 24.6% trader consensus for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his executive record as California governor, robust fundraising machine, and national media offensive positioning him as a pragmatic alternative post-2024. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on progressive star power and youth appeal, while Jon Ossoff's 6.3% highlights his Georgia battleground success and Senate rising-star status; Kamala Harris lags at 5% amid vice-presidential reevaluation. In this wide-open primary field, key differentiators include regional strength, ideological lane, and donor networks—consolidation likely from 2026 midterm wins, early cash hauls, or scandals shifting the fragmented donor base toward viable general-election contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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