Skip to main content
Market icon

ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Market icon

ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$19,202 Vol.

10 abr 2026
Polymarket

$19,202 Vol.

Polymarket

April 10

$1,040 Vol.

No

April 11

$4,012 Vol.

Yes

April 12

$8,591 Vol.

Yes

April 13

$5,559 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). OpenAI's ChatGPT app, powered by advanced large language models, has faced intense competition in the US Apple App Store's free apps chart after holding the #1 spot for much of 2025 and early 2026. Anthropic's Claude surged to the top around March 1 amid user defections from ChatGPT over OpenAI's controversial defense contracts, boosting Claude's downloads and positioning it as an ethical AI alternative. Recent backlash—including a 295% spike in ChatGPT uninstalls and 775% rise in one-star reviews by April 7—further eroded its lead, though it rebounded to #2 as of April 13, trailing Netflix Game Controller amid The Masters tournament hype, with Claude at #3, Google Gemini at #5, and Meta AI at #4. Traders watch for OpenAI updates, rival model releases like potential GPT-6 previews, and viral social media sentiment shifts that could reclaim the top spot.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$19,202
Data de Término
13 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 10, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). OpenAI's ChatGPT app, powered by advanced large language models, has faced intense competition in the US Apple App Store's free apps chart after holding the #1 spot for much of 2025 and early 2026. Anthropic's Claude surged to the top around March 1 amid user defections from ChatGPT over OpenAI's controversial defense contracts, boosting Claude's downloads and positioning it as an ethical AI alternative. Recent backlash—including a 295% spike in ChatGPT uninstalls and 775% rise in one-star reviews by April 7—further eroded its lead, though it rebounded to #2 as of April 13, trailing Netflix Game Controller amid The Masters tournament hype, with Claude at #3, Google Gemini at #5, and Meta AI at #4. Traders watch for OpenAI updates, rival model releases like potential GPT-6 previews, and viral social media sentiment shifts that could reclaim the top spot.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$19,202
Data de Término
13 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 10, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 11" at 100%, followed by "April 12" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" has generated $19.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is "April 11" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 12" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.