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icon for GPT-5.5 lançado em...?

GPT-5.5 lançado em...?

icon for GPT-5.5 lançado em...?

GPT-5.5 lançado em...?

23 de abril 100.0%

Prio to or on April 8 <1%

9 de abril <1%

10 de abril <1%

Polymarket

$1,556,759 Vol.

23 de abril 100.0%

Prio to or on April 8 <1%

9 de abril <1%

10 de abril <1%

Polymarket

$1,556,759 Vol.

Prio to or on April 8

$2,103 Vol.

No

9 de abril

$29 Vol.

Não

10 de abril

$125 Vol.

Não

11 de abril

$132 Vol.

Não

12 de abril

$230 Vol.

Não

13 de abril

$305 Vol.

Não

14 de abril

$1,920 Vol.

Não

15 de abril

$2,338 Vol.

Não

16 de abril

$52,118 Vol.

Não

17 de abril

$3,969 Vol.

Não

18 de abril

$2,130 Vol.

Não

19 de abril

$3,448 Vol.

Não

20 de abril

$5,443 Vol.

Não

21 de abril

$108,215 Vol.

Não

22 de abril

$92,761 Vol.

Não

23 de abril

$767,432 Vol.

Sim

24 de abril

$70,565 Vol.

Não

25 de abril

$28,574 Vol.

Não

26 de abril

$26,130 Vol.

Não

27 de abril

$27,525 Vol.

Não

28 de abril

$50,569 Vol.

Não

29 de abril

$43,978 Vol.

Não

30 de abril

$71,569 Vol.

Não

Sem lançamento até 30 de abril

$195,151 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's official announcement and rollout of GPT-5.5 today—detailed in a blog post and confirmed via posts from CEO Sam Altman and the company account—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for an April 23 release, as the large language model is now available to paid ChatGPT and Codex subscribers, excelling in agentic coding, research, and tool use with efficiency gains over GPT-5.4. This rapid iteration, just seven weeks after the prior model, underscores OpenAI's accelerated development pace amid competition from Anthropic's Claude. While skin-in-the-game bets reflect near-certainty on confirmed deployment, edge cases like disputes over exact rollout timing or resolution criteria could theoretically challenge it, though such risks appear negligible given the public availability.

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).

GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,556,759
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's official announcement and rollout of GPT-5.5 today—detailed in a blog post and confirmed via posts from CEO Sam Altman and the company account—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for an April 23 release, as the large language model is now available to paid ChatGPT and Codex subscribers, excelling in agentic coding, research, and tool use with efficiency gains over GPT-5.4. This rapid iteration, just seven weeks after the prior model, underscores OpenAI's accelerated development pace amid competition from Anthropic's Claude. While skin-in-the-game bets reflect near-certainty on confirmed deployment, edge cases like disputes over exact rollout timing or resolution criteria could theoretically challenge it, though such risks appear negligible given the public availability.

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).

GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,556,759
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"GPT-5.5 lançado em...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "23 de abril" at 100%, followed by "Prio to or on April 8" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GPT-5.5 lançado em...?" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GPT-5.5 lançado em...?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GPT-5.5 lançado em...?" is "23 de abril" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Prio to or on April 8" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GPT-5.5 lançado em...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.