OpenAI's official announcement and rollout of GPT-5.5 today—detailed in a blog post and confirmed via posts from CEO Sam Altman and the company account—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for an April 23 release, as the large language model is now available to paid ChatGPT and Codex subscribers, excelling in agentic coding, research, and tool use with efficiency gains over GPT-5.4. This rapid iteration, just seven weeks after the prior model, underscores OpenAI's accelerated development pace amid competition from Anthropic's Claude. While skin-in-the-game bets reflect near-certainty on confirmed deployment, edge cases like disputes over exact rollout timing or resolution criteria could theoretically challenge it, though such risks appear negligible given the public availability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoGPT-5.5 lançado em...?
GPT-5.5 lançado em...?
23 de abril 100.0%
Prio to or on April 8 <1%
9 de abril <1%
10 de abril <1%
$1,556,759 Vol.
$1,556,759 Vol.
Prio to or on April 8
No
9 de abril
Não
10 de abril
Não
11 de abril
Não
12 de abril
Não
13 de abril
Não
14 de abril
Não
15 de abril
Não
16 de abril
Não
17 de abril
Não
18 de abril
Não
19 de abril
Não
20 de abril
Não
21 de abril
Não
22 de abril
Não
23 de abril
Sim
24 de abril
Não
25 de abril
Não
26 de abril
Não
27 de abril
Não
28 de abril
Não
29 de abril
Não
30 de abril
Não
Sem lançamento até 30 de abril
Não
23 de abril 100.0%
Prio to or on April 8 <1%
9 de abril <1%
10 de abril <1%
$1,556,759 Vol.
$1,556,759 Vol.
Prio to or on April 8
No
9 de abril
Não
10 de abril
Não
11 de abril
Não
12 de abril
Não
13 de abril
Não
14 de abril
Não
15 de abril
Não
16 de abril
Não
17 de abril
Não
18 de abril
Não
19 de abril
Não
20 de abril
Não
21 de abril
Não
22 de abril
Não
23 de abril
Sim
24 de abril
Não
25 de abril
Não
26 de abril
Não
27 de abril
Não
28 de abril
Não
29 de abril
Não
30 de abril
Não
Sem lançamento até 30 de abril
Não
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
OpenAI's official announcement and rollout of GPT-5.5 today—detailed in a blog post and confirmed via posts from CEO Sam Altman and the company account—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for an April 23 release, as the large language model is now available to paid ChatGPT and Codex subscribers, excelling in agentic coding, research, and tool use with efficiency gains over GPT-5.4. This rapid iteration, just seven weeks after the prior model, underscores OpenAI's accelerated development pace amid competition from Anthropic's Claude. While skin-in-the-game bets reflect near-certainty on confirmed deployment, edge cases like disputes over exact rollout timing or resolution criteria could theoretically challenge it, though such risks appear negligible given the public availability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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