Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?

Name: Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?
Start: 2025-12-23T23:08:07.710Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Economia·Política Económica

Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Aumento 94%

Sem mudança 4.7%

Redução 1.7%

$30,269 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Redução

$14,146 Vol.

Sem mudança

$5,393 Vol.

Aumento

$10,730 Vol.

94%

Aumento 94%

Sem mudança 4.7%

Redução 1.7%

$30,269 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Redução

$14,146 Vol.

Sem mudança

$5,393 Vol.

Aumento

$10,730 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Persistent inflation pressures in Colombia, with January CPI at 8.35% year-over-year—nearly double the 3% target—have driven Polymarket's 93.5% implied probability for a Central Bank rate hike in March, reflecting trader consensus backed by substantial capital. Hawkish board minutes from February emphasized data-dependent tightening amid robust 1.2% Q4 GDP growth and COP/USD depreciation to multi-month lows, signaling limited room for pauses after prior hikes to 13.25%. Key support stems from core inflation metrics exceeding forecasts. Realistic challenges include a softer-than-expected mid-March CPI print below 8% or dovish global cues from Fed policy, potentially capping the move at no change (4.5% odds).

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 18, 2026, 6:52 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aumento" at 94%, followed by "Sem mudança" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?" has generated $30.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?" is "Aumento" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sem mudança" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $30.3K traded on “Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 94¢ for "Aumento" in the "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 94% chance that "Aumento" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 94¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 6¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?" market has a growing discussion of 6 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?

Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (6)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em março?" prediction market?

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