Trader consensus heavily favors 2.8M-3.0M TSA passengers on March 20, reflecting a sustained spring break surge after record screenings of 2.97 million on March 17 and 2.85 million on March 18, with March 19 at approximately 2.82 million. Mid-week patterns historically average lower than weekends, but 2024 volumes exceed 2019 baselines amid strong post-winter demand and NCAA tournament anticipation. No major weather disruptions or strikes reported, supporting continuation of the upward trend from early March's 2.5M-2.7M range. Lower bins reflect caution over potential weekday dips, while upper outcomes remain marginal absent unexpected boosts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado2.8M-3.0M 60%
2.4M-2.6M 4.0%
2.6M-2.8M 1%
<2.4M <1%
$4,814 Vol.
$4,814 Vol.
<2.4M
<1%
2.4M-2.6M
4%
2.6M-2.8M
21%
2.8M-3.0M
75%
3.0M-3.2M
27%
>3.2M
<1%
2.8M-3.0M 60%
2.4M-2.6M 4.0%
2.6M-2.8M 1%
<2.4M <1%
$4,814 Vol.
$4,814 Vol.
<2.4M
<1%
2.4M-2.6M
4%
2.6M-2.8M
21%
2.8M-3.0M
75%
3.0M-3.2M
27%
>3.2M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 17, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 2.8M-3.0M TSA passengers on March 20, reflecting a sustained spring break surge after record screenings of 2.97 million on March 17 and 2.85 million on March 18, with March 19 at approximately 2.82 million. Mid-week patterns historically average lower than weekends, but 2024 volumes exceed 2019 baselines amid strong post-winter demand and NCAA tournament anticipation. No major weather disruptions or strikes reported, supporting continuation of the upward trend from early March's 2.5M-2.7M range. Lower bins reflect caution over potential weekday dips, while upper outcomes remain marginal absent unexpected boosts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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