Market icon
Política·Presidência Trump

50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?

Market icon
Política·Presidência Trump

50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?

<1% acaso
Polymarket

$40,140 Vol.

<1% acaso
Polymarket

$40,140 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from Brazil goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from Brazil goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting Brazil will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from Brazil goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from Brazil goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting Brazil will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$40,140
Data de Término
1 ago 2025
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 11:36 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from Brazil goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from Brazil goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting Brazil will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from Brazil goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from Brazil goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting Brazil will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from Brazil goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from Brazil goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting Brazil will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$40,140
Data de Término
1 ago 2025
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 11:36 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from Brazil goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from Brazil goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting Brazil will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?" has generated $40.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.