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Eleições·Votos

Períodos de 2026: comparecimento às urnas

Market icon
Eleições·Votos

Períodos de 2026: comparecimento às urnas

115-120 milhões 22%

125-130 milhões 17%

105-110 milhões 15%

120-125 milhões 14%

Polymarket
NOVO

115-120 milhões 22%

125-130 milhões 17%

105-110 milhões 15%

120-125 milhões 14%

Polymarket
NOVO

<85 milhões

$319 Vol.

5%

85-90 milhões

$419 Vol.

9%

90-95 milhões

$831 Vol.

1%

95-100 milhões

$269 Vol.

3%

100-105 milhões

$631 Vol.

6%

105-110 milhões

$431 Vol.

15%

110-115 milhões

$440 Vol.

20%

115-120 milhões

$1,020 Vol.

22%

120-125 milhões

$371 Vol.

14%

125-130 milhões

$1,158 Vol.

24%

130 milhões+

$245 Vol.

6%

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in House races at 25%, with close contenders at 115-120 million (18%) and others nearby, reflecting expectations of turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million and 2018's 114 million amid population growth and polarization under President Trump's second term. Recent generic ballot polls, including YouGov/Economist (April 3-6, 2026) showing Democrats up 44%-42% among registered voters and aggregates indicating +10% among definite voters, signal Democratic enthusiasm that could drive higher participation via anti-incumbent mobilization. The race stays tight due to early-stage uncertainty, varying turnout models (high scenarios near 51% voting-eligible participation vs. low under 40%), and historical midterm volatility. Shifts could emerge from upcoming state primaries, presidential approval trends, economic data, or party registration drives in battlegrounds.

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.

Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$6,132
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in House races at 25%, with close contenders at 115-120 million (18%) and others nearby, reflecting expectations of turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million and 2018's 114 million amid population growth and polarization under President Trump's second term. Recent generic ballot polls, including YouGov/Economist (April 3-6, 2026) showing Democrats up 44%-42% among registered voters and aggregates indicating +10% among definite voters, signal Democratic enthusiasm that could drive higher participation via anti-incumbent mobilization. The race stays tight due to early-stage uncertainty, varying turnout models (high scenarios near 51% voting-eligible participation vs. low under 40%), and historical midterm volatility. Shifts could emerge from upcoming state primaries, presidential approval trends, economic data, or party registration drives in battlegrounds.

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.

Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$6,132
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Períodos de 2026: comparecimento às urnas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "125-130 milhões" at 24%, followed by "115-120 milhões" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Períodos de 2026: comparecimento às urnas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Períodos de 2026: comparecimento às urnas," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Períodos de 2026: comparecimento às urnas" is "125-130 milhões" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "115-120 milhões" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Períodos de 2026: comparecimento às urnas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.