Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

100%

March 31

$3M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends in 10 days

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

14%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$107K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

15%

$224K Vol.

$68.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?

How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?

99%

6-9

$800K Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

13%

$2M Vol.

$117K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

15%

$571K Vol.

$83.7K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

36%

$65.9K Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

5%

$473K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 3 months

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$585K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

19%

$91.8K Vol.

$35.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

5%

$25.7K Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

7%

$54.0K Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

9%

$10.9K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

WNCL: Queensland Fire vs South Australia Scorpions - Team Top Batter

WNCL: Queensland Fire vs South Australia Scorpions - Team Top Batter

-

$646 Vol.

WNCL: Queensland Fire vs South Australia Scorpions - Team Top Batter

WNCL: Queensland Fire vs South Australia Scorpions - Team Top Batter

-

$673 Vol.

Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group A

Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group A

86%

Eternal Fire Passion

$96 Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

58%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

108

Ends in 3 months

WNCL: Queensland Fire vs South Australia Scorpions - More Markets

WNCL: Queensland Fire vs South Australia Scorpions - More Markets

-

$1.5K Vol.

$0 Liq.

WNCL: Queensland Fire vs South Australia Scorpions - More Markets

WNCL: Queensland Fire vs South Australia Scorpions - More Markets

-

$101 Vol.

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

100%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$1M Vol.

$673K today

$2M Liq.

363

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like The Fire Inside.

Polymarket currently hosts 170 active markets for The Fire Inside that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $12.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to April 15. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on The Fire Inside predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.