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Shopping predictions & odds

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Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

3%

$480K Vol.

$52.8K today

$99.1K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

<1%

$52.4K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

96%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

33

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

10

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

32%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

53%

↑ $1.80

$1.5K Vol.

$437 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

82%

50

$18.5K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

AutoZone Q3 domestic same store sales growth?

AutoZone Q3 domestic same store sales growth?

47%

<3.5%

$0 Vol.

$221 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

74%

↓ 75,000

$19M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

Ross Stores Q1 comparable store sales growth?

Ross Stores Q1 comparable store sales growth?

49%

<6%

$0 Vol.

$26 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

73%

↑ $304

$129K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth?

Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth?

46%

<4%

$1 Vol.

$140 Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Target Q1 comparable sales growth?

Target Q1 comparable sales growth?

66%

<-1%

$11.3K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

43%

↑ 16

$37.5K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$715

$13.6K Vol.

$83.1K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

87%

$170 billion

$689 Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Ralph Lauren Q4 comparable store sales growth?

Ralph Lauren Q4 comparable store sales growth?

45%

6%–8%

$0 Vol.

$274 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

67%

↓ 500

$110K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Shopping.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Shopping that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Shopping predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.