$TRUMP predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$30M Vol.

$333K today

$450K Liq.

576

Ends in 3 months

60%

December 31

$30M Vol.

$333K today

$450K Liq.

576

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

$99.5K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$99.5K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$6M Vol.

$111K today

$838K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

88%

No Meeting by September 30

$6M Vol.

$111K today

$838K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

World·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$24M Vol.

$2M Liq.

208

Ends in 19 days

15%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24M Vol.

$2M Liq.

208

Ends in 19 days

Crypto·Pre Market

Will Trump launch a coin by ___?

$98.4K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$98.4K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$12M Vol.

$207K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

60%

March 31, 2027

$12M Vol.

$207K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$29M Vol.

$159K Liq.

195

Ends in 3 months

December 31

$29M Vol.

$159K Liq.

195

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Trump

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

$33.6K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$33.6K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

$2M Vol.

$75.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

12%

$2M Vol.

$75.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Trump

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

$393K Vol.

$282K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

95%

Delcy Rodríguez

$393K Vol.

$282K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Epstein

Trump out as President before 2027?

$12M Vol.

$338K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$12M Vol.

$338K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump speak to in September?

$153K Vol.

$125K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

95%

Xi Jinping

$153K Vol.

$125K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Geopolitics·Houthis

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

$37.6K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

23%

$37.6K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Elections·US Election

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

$1.0K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

28%

$1.0K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$18M Vol.

$129K Liq.

218

Ends in 3 months

December 31

$18M Vol.

$129K Liq.

218

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Gop

Republican VP Nominee 2028

$46.9K Vol.

$864K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

30%

Marco Rubio

$46.9K Vol.

$864K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

$1M Vol.

$233K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

91%

Delcy Rodríguez

$1M Vol.

$233K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Trump

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

$1M Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

31%

Pete Hegseth

$1M Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Karoline Leavitt

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

$450K Vol.

$340K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

16%

Scott Jennings

$450K Vol.

$340K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Russia

Trump meets with Putin by...?

$269K Vol.

$50.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

67%

December 31

$269K Vol.

$50.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like $TRUMP.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for $TRUMP that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $137.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 60% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on $TRUMP predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for $TRUMP shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the $TRUMP prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the $TRUMP prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

$TRUMP predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of $TRUMP prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do $TRUMP markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top $TRUMP prediction?

Why use Polymarket for $TRUMP predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s $TRUMP odds?

Can I track $TRUMP predictions without trading?

How do I get started with $TRUMP markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

$TRUMP predictions & odds