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Peace Talks predictions & odds

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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

66%

December 31

$117M Vol.

$762K today

$3M Liq.

2,314

Ends in 8 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

10%

Donald Trump

$18M Vol.

$116K today

$2M Liq.

175

Ends in 5 months

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

14%

June 30

$928K Vol.

$80.4K Liq.

14

Ends in 14 days

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

6%

$438K Vol.

$44.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

2%

May 31

$175K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

23

Ends in 14 days

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

32%

$571K Vol.

$66.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

19%

$14.7K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

21%

December 31

$432K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

30%

$14.0K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

19%

$469K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

88%

No election before 2027

$18.4K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

7

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

45%

Trump Time

$3.6K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

3%

$12.1K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

31%

June 30

$150K Vol.

$517 Liq.

30

Ends in about 1 month

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

43%

June 30

$35.3K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

4

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

35%

December 31

$793K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

14

Ends in 8 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

48%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$333K today

$235K Liq.

474

Ends in about 1 month

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

3%

May 31

$29.0K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

8

Ends in 14 days

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

17%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

88

Ends in about 1 month

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

14%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

980

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Peace Talks that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $162.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 66% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Peace Talks predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.