Liberation Day Tariffs predictions & odds

Economy·Tariffs

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

$258K Vol.

$97.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

39%

December 31

$258K Vol.

$97.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Economy·Tariffs

Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

$4.8K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

74%

December 31

$4.8K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Economy·Tariffs

Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

$6.2K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

15%

October 31

$6.2K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Economy·Tariffs

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

$56.8K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

12%

$56.8K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Economy·Tariff

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

$16.6K Vol.

$241 Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

33%

December 31, 2026

$16.6K Vol.

$241 Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Economy·IEEPA

U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

$10.0K Vol.

$64.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

79%

5–15%

$10.0K Vol.

$64.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Trump

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?

$3.1K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$3.1K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

$4M Vol.

$65.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

17%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$65.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

World·Hong Kong

Jimmy Lai released by...?

$391K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$391K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

$994K Vol.

$57.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$994K Vol.

$57.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Eu

EU lifts ban on Russian diesel imports by...?

$3.3K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

18%

December 31

$3.3K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Cape Of Good Hope

Panama Canal effectively closed by...?

$380 Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

December 31

$380 Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$39M Vol.

$207K today

$851K Liq.

801

Ends in 3 months

67%

March 31

$39M Vol.

$207K today

$851K Liq.

801

Ends in 3 months

Crypto·FDV

Linera FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$19.5K Vol.

$131K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

16%

$100M

$19.5K Vol.

$131K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Crypto·FDV

Tori Finance FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$19.5K Vol.

$38.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

30%

$50M

$19.5K Vol.

$38.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Geopolitics·Cape Of Good Hope

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$17M Vol.

$505K Liq.

280

Ends in 3 months

17%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$505K Liq.

280

Ends in 3 months

Economy·Economics

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

$507K Vol.

$48.1K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

11%

December 31

$507K Vol.

$48.1K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Geopolitics·Ceasefire

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

$20.0K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

October 31

$20.0K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Geopolitics·France

IEA asks France to release oil stocks by...?

$3.9K Vol.

$365 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

41%

December 31

$3.9K Vol.

$365 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Hezbollah

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

$419K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

10%

$419K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

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Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Liberation Day Tariffs.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Liberation Day Tariffs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $62.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel military action against Beirut by...?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 67% chance to March 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Liberation Day Tariffs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Liberation Day Tariffs shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Liberation Day Tariffs prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Liberation Day Tariffs predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Liberation Day Tariffs prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Liberation Day Tariffs markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Liberation Day Tariffs prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Liberation Day Tariffs predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Liberation Day Tariffs odds?

Can I track Liberation Day Tariffs predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Liberation Day Tariffs markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Liberation Day Tariffs predictions & odds