Biden senile during the debate?

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Biden senile during the debate?

Yes

$551k Vol.

$0 Liq.

89

Next GOP presidential drop out?

Donald Trump

Politics

Next GOP presidential drop out?

Ron DeSantis

$125k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Who will win the 2024 Republican Iowa Caucus?

Donald Trump

Politics

Who will win the 2024 Republican Iowa Caucus?

Nikki Haley

$1m Vol.

$0 Liq.

4

South Carolina Republican Primary Winner

Donald Trump

Politics

South Carolina Republican Primary Winner

Donald Trump

$2m Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Donald Trump

Politics

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Yes

$77m Vol.

3,857

Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?

Donald Trump

Politics

Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?

No

$1m Vol.

12

Trump violates gag order by next Friday?

Donald Trump

Politics

Trump violates gag order by next Friday?

No

$25.7k Vol.

8

Trump to speak at Bitcoin 2024 conference?

Donald Trump

Politics

Trump to speak at Bitcoin 2024 conference?

Yes

$17.1k Vol.

4

Will Trump mention $MAGA before July?

Donald Trump

Crypto

Will Trump mention $MAGA before July?

No

$13.8k Vol.

Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?

Donald Trump

Trump

Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?

No

$252k Vol.

-2

Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election?

Donald Trump

Crypto

Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election?

No

$83.5k Vol.

4

Will Trump show up for debate?

Donald Trump

Politics

Will Trump show up for debate?

Yes

$39.0k Vol.

Will Trump tweet again by June 1?

Donald Trump

Trump

Will Trump tweet again by June 1?

No

$33.2k Vol.

2

Will Trump be Speaker by July 1?

Donald Trump

Trump

Will Trump be Speaker by July 1?

No

$140k Vol.

Will Trump mention $boden before July?

Donald Trump

Crypto

Will Trump mention $boden before July?

No

$206k Vol.

6

Will Trump remove all 9 posts by 2:15 PM deadline?

Donald Trump

Trump

Will Trump remove all 9 posts by 2:15 PM deadline?

Yes

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will Trump launch a coin by Friday?

Donald Trump

Crypto

Will Trump launch a coin by Friday?

No

$155k Vol.

When will Jury deliberations end in Trump hush money trial?

Donald Trump

Trump

When will Jury deliberations end in Trump hush money trial?

Wednesday

$21.7k Vol.

$DJT Market Cap on April 5

Donald Trump

Business

$DJT Market Cap on April 5

<$8b

$107k Vol.

Will Elon Musk endorse Trump?

Donald Trump

Politics

Will Elon Musk endorse Trump?

Yes

$25.5k Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Donald Trump.

Polymarket currently hosts 66 active markets for Donald Trump that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Biden senile during the debate?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $82.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "South Carolina Republican Primary Winner," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Will Trump launch a coin before the election?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Donald Trump predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.