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icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Up

0% 確率
Polymarket

$74 Vol.

Up

0% 確率
Polymarket

$74 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages show President Trump's job approval hovering near 37-40 percent, with modest weekly rebounds in surveys from YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos reflecting slight gains on foreign policy handling amid Iran-related developments. Competitive balance stems from entrenched economic concerns, including inflation and cost-of-living pressures that have kept net approval deeply negative, offset by limited positive movement in recent data releases. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because approval metrics often shift with incoming survey results, scheduled economic indicators, or policy announcements that can alter short-term trajectories in either direction before week-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$74
終了日
2026/06/19
マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

提案された結果: Up

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Up

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages show President Trump's job approval hovering near 37-40 percent, with modest weekly rebounds in surveys from YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos reflecting slight gains on foreign policy handling amid Iran-related developments. Competitive balance stems from entrenched economic concerns, including inflation and cost-of-living pressures that have kept net approval deeply negative, offset by limited positive movement in recent data releases. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because approval metrics often shift with incoming survey results, scheduled economic indicators, or policy announcements that can alter short-term trajectories in either direction before week-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$74
終了日
2026/06/19
マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

提案された結果: Up

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Up

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Trump approval Up or Down this week?」はPolymarket上の日次予測市場で、トレーダーはタイトルに指定された日次ウィンドウ内でTrump approval Up or Down this week?の価格が始値より高く(「Up」)終わるか低く(「Down」)終わるかのシェアを売買します。現在の市場確率は「Up」に対して100%です。価格100%は、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。価格はトレーダーがTrump approval Up or Down this week?のライブ価格変動に反応するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Trump approval Up or Down this week?」はPolymarket上のアクティブな短期市場です。日次ウィンドウの進行とともに取引量は急速に蓄積される可能性があります。このウィンドウが閉じる前に早めに参加してオッズの設定を手伝いましょう。

「Trump approval Up or Down this week?」で取引するには、June 19の正午ETにおけるTrump approval Up or Down this week?の価格がJune 12の正午ETより高くなる(「Up」)か低くなる(「Down」)かを判断してください。価格が上がると思えば「Up」を、下がると思えば「Down」を購入します。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。結果が正しければ、各シェアは$1.00を支払います。正しくなければ、シェアは$0の価値になります。

この日次ウィンドウは閉じられ、決済されました。最終結果は「Up」でした。このページ上部の時間ナビゲーションを使用して、隣接するウィンドウを表示するか、現在のライブ市場を見つけてください。

「Trump approval Up or Down this week?」市場は、June 19の正午ETとJune 12の正午ETにおけるTrump approval Up or Down this week?の価格の比較に基づいて決済されます。Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDTの1分キャンドル終値を使用します。June 19の正午価格が高ければ結果は「Up」、低ければ「Down」、同じであれば市場は50-50で決済されます。「ルール」セクションで完全な基準を確認できます。