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icon for ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年6月16日~ 23日?

ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年6月16日~ 23日?

icon for ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年6月16日~ 23日?

ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年6月16日~ 23日?

160-179 99.1%

40-59 <1%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

Polymarket

$48,306 Vol.

160-179 99.1%

40-59 <1%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

Polymarket

$48,306 Vol.

<20

$2,000 Vol.

No

20-39

$1,211 Vol.

No

40-59

$352 Vol.

No

60-79

$1,701 Vol.

No

80-99

$2,596 Vol.

No

100-119

$5,509 Vol.

No

120-139

$4,663 Vol.

No

140-159

$13,300 Vol.

No

160-179

$6,224 Vol.

Yes

180-199

$5,117 Vol.

No

200+

$5,635 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity in 2025–2026 has averaged 18–27 posts per day, with frequent bursts exceeding 100 on high-news days tied to economic data, political developments, or opponent responses. This baseline, combined with the ongoing June 16–23 window showing moderate executive schedule items like interviews and routine time, has produced tight trader clustering around 120–159 posts and the 200+ bucket. Separation could emerge from sudden spikes during market volatility, major legislative votes, or international developments that prompt extended posting sessions, versus quieter periods limited to standard commentary. Historical patterns show volume often tracks real-time events rather than fixed routines.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$48,306
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity in 2025–2026 has averaged 18–27 posts per day, with frequent bursts exceeding 100 on high-news days tied to economic data, political developments, or opponent responses. This baseline, combined with the ongoing June 16–23 window showing moderate executive schedule items like interviews and routine time, has produced tight trader clustering around 120–159 posts and the 200+ bucket. Separation could emerge from sudden spikes during market volatility, major legislative votes, or international developments that prompt extended posting sessions, versus quieter periods limited to standard commentary. Historical patterns show volume often tracks real-time events rather than fixed routines.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$48,306
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年6月16日~ 23日?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「160-179」で100%、次いで「<20」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年6月16日~ 23日?」は$48.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年6月16日~ 23日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年6月16日~ 23日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「160-179」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「<20」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年6月16日~ 23日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。