Vice President JD Vance led the U.S. delegation in direct, high-level talks with Iranian officials in Islamabad, Pakistan, in April 2026, including a 21-hour session that produced no agreement on ending hostilities or nuclear limits but marked the highest-profile bilateral engagement in years. Subsequent rounds proceeded without Vance, mediated indirectly through Pakistani channels, as the administration maintained cease-fire extensions and red lines on Iran's nuclear program. In May, Vance publicly noted substantive progress toward a potential memorandum of understanding while stressing the need for additional concessions and presidential approval. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, military exchanges, and the Supreme Leader's limited direct involvement continue to shape prospects for any further Vance-led meetings within specific resolution windows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$198,512 Vol.
2026/06/30
June 30
15%
$198,512 Vol.
June 30
$41,549 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance led the U.S. delegation in direct, high-level talks with Iranian officials in Islamabad, Pakistan, in April 2026, including a 21-hour session that produced no agreement on ending hostilities or nuclear limits but marked the highest-profile bilateral engagement in years. Subsequent rounds proceeded without Vance, mediated indirectly through Pakistani channels, as the administration maintained cease-fire extensions and red lines on Iran's nuclear program. In May, Vance publicly noted substantive progress toward a potential memorandum of understanding while stressing the need for additional concessions and presidential approval. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, military exchanges, and the Supreme Leader's limited direct involvement continue to shape prospects for any further Vance-led meetings within specific resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
音量
$198,512終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance led the U.S. delegation in direct, high-level talks with Iranian officials in Islamabad, Pakistan, in April 2026, including a 21-hour session that produced no agreement on ending hostilities or nuclear limits but marked the highest-profile bilateral engagement in years. Subsequent rounds proceeded without Vance, mediated indirectly through Pakistani channels, as the administration maintained cease-fire extensions and red lines on Iran's nuclear program. In May, Vance publicly noted substantive progress toward a potential memorandum of understanding while stressing the need for additional concessions and presidential approval. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, military exchanges, and the Supreme Leader's limited direct involvement continue to shape prospects for any further Vance-led meetings within specific resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$198,512終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance led the U.S. delegation in direct, high-level talks with Iranian officials in Islamabad, Pakistan, in April 2026, including a 21-hour session that produced no agreement on ending hostilities or nuclear limits but marked the highest-profile bilateral engagement in years. Subsequent rounds proceeded without Vance, mediated indirectly through Pakistani channels, as the administration maintained cease-fire extensions and red lines on Iran's nuclear program. In May, Vance publicly noted substantive progress toward a potential memorandum of understanding while stressing the need for additional concessions and presidential approval. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, military exchanges, and the Supreme Leader's limited direct involvement continue to shape prospects for any further Vance-led meetings within specific resolution windows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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