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Debate predictions & odds

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Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

22%

December 31, 2026

$560K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

28

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

97%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$12.5K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

6

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

19%

May 31

$132K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

10

LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Paradox (BO2) - HLL Regular Season

LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Paradox (BO2) - HLL Regular Season

100%

WLGaming Esports

$675 Vol.

$0 Liq.

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

61%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$3.8K Vol.

$646 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Counter-Strike: ReThink vs XI Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D

Counter-Strike: ReThink vs XI Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D

100%

XI Esport

$8.7K Vol.

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

74%

June 30

$14M Vol.

$1M today

$331K Liq.

332

Ends in about 2 months

Counter-Strike: ReThink vs XI Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D

Counter-Strike: ReThink vs XI Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D

100%

ReThink

$767 Vol.

$0 Liq.

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Team Secret Whales

$687 Vol.

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$634K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: Younglings vs VP.Future (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: Younglings vs VP.Future (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

Younglings

$4.5K Vol.

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

86%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.2K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: NeverPlay vs Pitstop crew (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: NeverPlay vs Pitstop crew (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

NeverPlay

$112K Vol.

$112K today

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

100%

LYON

$154K Vol.

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Entropy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Entropy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Sashi Academy

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: ReThink vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group D

Counter-Strike: ReThink vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group D

100%

ReThink

$8.4K Vol.

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

59%

Sentinels

$9 Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Counter-Strike: Younglings vs gothboiclique (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: Younglings vs gothboiclique (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

Younglings

$415 Vol.

LoL: Team Paradox vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO2) - HLL Regular Season

LoL: Team Paradox vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO2) - HLL Regular Season

Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports

$1.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: SAW vs Team Eclipse (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: SAW vs Team Eclipse (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

SAW

$4.8K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Debate.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Debate that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: NeverPlay vs Pitstop crew (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 74% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Debate predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.