Milton landfall at what category?
3 99.8%
≤2 <1%
4 <1%
5 <1%
$1,673,043 Vol.
$1,673,043 Vol.
Oct 31, 2024
≤2
$482,582 Vol.
No
≤2
$482,582 Vol.
No
3
$246,126 Vol.
Yes
3
$246,126 Vol.
Yes
4
$384,695 Vol.
No
4
$384,695 Vol.
No
5
$559,640 Vol.
No
5
$559,640 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml).
If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".
If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".
For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml).
If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".
If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".
For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".
If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".
For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Aangemaakt op: Oct 7, 2024, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$1,673,043Einddatum
Oct 31, 2024Aangemaakt op
Oct 7, 2024, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Voorgesteld resultaat: No
Geen geschil
Eindresultaat: No
Milton landfall at what category?
3 99.8%
≤2 <1%
4 <1%
5 <1%
$1,673,043 Vol.
$1,673,043 Vol.
Oct 31, 2024
≤2
$482,582 Vol.
No
3
$246,126 Vol.
Yes
4
$384,695 Vol.
No
5
$559,640 Vol.
No
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