Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects S&P 500 (SPX) positioning amid robust Q4 2024 earnings momentum, with mega-cap tech firms like Nvidia and Meta exceeding revenue forecasts by double digits, propelling the index above 6,000 for the first time late last month. Recent Federal Reserve signals of two additional 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025, alongside cooling inflation (January CPI at 2.9% year-over-year), have bolstered risk appetite, with 10-year Treasury yields dipping to 4.15%. However, escalating trade tensions post-election introduce volatility risks. Key March catalysts include the FOMC meeting on March 18-19 and preliminary Q1 GDP data, potentially swaying market-implied paths toward 6,200 or a pullback to 5,800 support levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$71,945 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
↓ 5700
3%
↓ 5600
1%
↓ 5500
1%
↓ 5350
1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
2%
↓ 4750
<1%
$71,945 Vol.
↓ 5700
$757 Vol.
3%
↓ 5600
$1,432 Vol.
1%
↓ 5500
$31,323 Vol.
1%
↓ 5350
$0 Vol.
1%
↓ 5200
$987 Vol.
1%
↓ 5000
$0 Vol.
2%
↓ 4750
$37,446 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects S&P 500 (SPX) positioning amid robust Q4 2024 earnings momentum, with mega-cap tech firms like Nvidia and Meta exceeding revenue forecasts by double digits, propelling the index above 6,000 for the first time late last month. Recent Federal Reserve signals of two additional 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025, alongside cooling inflation (January CPI at 2.9% year-over-year), have bolstered risk appetite, with 10-year Treasury yields dipping to 4.15%. However, escalating trade tensions post-election introduce volatility risks. Key March catalysts include the FOMC meeting on March 18-19 and preliminary Q1 GDP data, potentially swaying market-implied paths toward 6,200 or a pullback to 5,800 support levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$71,945End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects S&P 500 (SPX) positioning amid robust Q4 2024 earnings momentum, with mega-cap tech firms like Nvidia and Meta exceeding revenue forecasts by double digits, propelling the index above 6,000 for the first time late last month. Recent Federal Reserve signals of two additional 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025, alongside cooling inflation (January CPI at 2.9% year-over-year), have bolstered risk appetite, with 10-year Treasury yields dipping to 4.15%. However, escalating trade tensions post-election introduce volatility risks. Key March catalysts include the FOMC meeting on March 18-19 and preliminary Q1 GDP data, potentially swaying market-implied paths toward 6,200 or a pullback to 5,800 support levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$71,945End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects S&P 500 (SPX) positioning amid robust Q4 2024 earnings momentum, with mega-cap tech firms like Nvidia and Meta exceeding revenue forecasts by double digits, propelling the index above 6,000 for the first time late last month. Recent Federal Reserve signals of two additional 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025, alongside cooling inflation (January CPI at 2.9% year-over-year), have bolstered risk appetite, with 10-year Treasury yields dipping to 4.15%. However, escalating trade tensions post-election introduce volatility risks. Key March catalysts include the FOMC meeting on March 18-19 and preliminary Q1 GDP data, potentially swaying market-implied paths toward 6,200 or a pullback to 5,800 support levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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