# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Mar 31

30–35M 82%

25–30M 16%

35–40M 1.5%

20–25M <1%

$1,064,025 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

<20M

$137,370 Vol.

<1%

20–25M

$91,986 Vol.

<1%

25–30M

$110,749 Vol.

16%

30–35M

$101,467 Vol.

82%

35–40M

$181,509 Vol.

40–45M

$248,523 Vol.

<1%

45–50M

$88,266 Vol.

<1%

50M+

$108,611 Vol.

<1%

30–35M 82%

25–30M 16%

35–40M 1.5%

20–25M <1%

$1,064,025 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

<20M

$137,370 Vol.

<1%

20–25M

$91,986 Vol.

<1%

25–30M

$110,749 Vol.

16%

30–35M

$101,467 Vol.

82%

35–40M

$181,509 Vol.

40–45M

$248,523 Vol.

<1%

45–50M

$88,266 Vol.

<1%

50M+

$108,611 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Trader consensus heavily favors 30–35 million day-one views (87% implied probability) for MrBeast's next YouTube video, driven by his consistent track record of massive launches amid a 380-million-subscriber juggernaut. Recent uploads like "I Survived 50 Hours in Antarctica" (32 million views in 24 hours) and "Ages 1-100 Fight For $500,000" (55 million peak but stabilizing around 30 million initially) reinforce this range, with lower tiers like 25–30 million (12%) as a conservative hedge against algorithm fluctuations or competition. Factors include optimized thumbnails, high-stakes challenge formats, and cross-promotion via X and TikTok, though subscriber fatigue risks cap upside beyond 40 million absent viral anomalies. Key watch: upload timing and title reveal for final sentiment shift.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 22, 2026, 2:18 AM UTC

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?

Will MrBeast get married by December 31?

59%

Will Kanye tweet again by March 31?

28%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30–35M" at 82%, followed by "25–30M" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is "30–35M" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25–30M" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.1 million traded on “# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 82¢ for "30–35M" in the "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 82% chance that "30–35M" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 82¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 18¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" market has an active community of 5,081 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

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