Recent July CPI data showed a modest 0.1% MoM rebound from June’s decline, with the Cleveland Fed’s August 2026 nowcast at 0.35% MoM (core 0.20%), anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 0.3% and 0.4% outcomes. Geopolitical energy volatility, shelter cost persistence, and softening labor market signals create competitive dynamics, as these factors could push readings toward or below consensus forecasts. The August report, due September 11, will resolve amid elevated year-over-year inflation near 3.4% and stable Fed policy expectations, leaving room for last-minute data revisions or commodity swings to shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.3% 37%
0.4% 32%
≥0.5% 21%
0.2% 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
≤-0.3%
3%
-0.2%
4%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
2%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
8%
0.3%
37%
0.4%
32%
≥0.5%
21%
0.3% 37%
0.4% 32%
≥0.5% 21%
0.2% 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
≤-0.3%
$78 Vol.
3%
-0.2%
$78 Vol.
4%
-0.1%
$163 Vol.
1%
0.0%
$228 Vol.
2%
0.1%
$194 Vol.
5%
0.2%
$78 Vol.
8%
0.3%
$175 Vol.
37%
0.4%
$384 Vol.
32%
≥0.5%
$93 Vol.
21%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showed a modest 0.1% MoM rebound from June’s decline, with the Cleveland Fed’s August 2026 nowcast at 0.35% MoM (core 0.20%), anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 0.3% and 0.4% outcomes. Geopolitical energy volatility, shelter cost persistence, and softening labor market signals create competitive dynamics, as these factors could push readings toward or below consensus forecasts. The August report, due September 11, will resolve amid elevated year-over-year inflation near 3.4% and stable Fed policy expectations, leaving room for last-minute data revisions or commodity swings to shift implied probabilities.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$1,470End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showed a modest 0.1% MoM rebound from June’s decline, with the Cleveland Fed’s August 2026 nowcast at 0.35% MoM (core 0.20%), anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 0.3% and 0.4% outcomes. Geopolitical energy volatility, shelter cost persistence, and softening labor market signals create competitive dynamics, as these factors could push readings toward or below consensus forecasts. The August report, due September 11, will resolve amid elevated year-over-year inflation near 3.4% and stable Fed policy expectations, leaving room for last-minute data revisions or commodity swings to shift implied probabilities.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$1,470End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data showed a modest 0.1% MoM rebound from June’s decline, with the Cleveland Fed’s August 2026 nowcast at 0.35% MoM (core 0.20%), anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 0.3% and 0.4% outcomes. Geopolitical energy volatility, shelter cost persistence, and softening labor market signals create competitive dynamics, as these factors could push readings toward or below consensus forecasts. The August report, due September 11, will resolve amid elevated year-over-year inflation near 3.4% and stable Fed policy expectations, leaving room for last-minute data revisions or commodity swings to shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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