**Trader consensus on the August 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month print centers on a 0.3–0.4% rise, with those outcomes carrying roughly 84% combined implied probability.** This pricing reflects a rebound from July’s soft +0.1% reading after June’s −0.4% decline, driven by tariff pass-through into goods prices, AI-related demand pressures on components such as semiconductors and hardware, and volatile energy costs tied to Middle East developments. Core measures remain sticky near 2.5% year-over-year, keeping underlying inflation well above the Fed’s 2% target and supporting market-implied odds for only modest near-term policy easing. The September 11 release arrives just days before the next FOMC meeting, making any surprise above 0.4% a potential catalyst for repricing rate expectations and Treasury yields.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.4% 49%
0.3% 35%
≥0.5% 11%
0.2% 5.0%
$39,038 Vol.
$39,038 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
<1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
3%
0.2%
5%
0.3%
35%
0.4%
49%
≥0.5%
11%
0.4% 49%
0.3% 35%
≥0.5% 11%
0.2% 5.0%
$39,038 Vol.
$39,038 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
$1,226 Vol.
<1%
-0.2%
$822 Vol.
<1%
-0.1%
$952 Vol.
<1%
0.0%
$1,548 Vol.
1%
0.1%
$1,579 Vol.
3%
0.2%
$2,606 Vol.
5%
0.3%
$4,224 Vol.
35%
0.4%
$9,845 Vol.
49%
≥0.5%
$16,236 Vol.
11%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader consensus on the August 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month print centers on a 0.3–0.4% rise, with those outcomes carrying roughly 84% combined implied probability.** This pricing reflects a rebound from July’s soft +0.1% reading after June’s −0.4% decline, driven by tariff pass-through into goods prices, AI-related demand pressures on components such as semiconductors and hardware, and volatile energy costs tied to Middle East developments. Core measures remain sticky near 2.5% year-over-year, keeping underlying inflation well above the Fed’s 2% target and supporting market-implied odds for only modest near-term policy easing. The September 11 release arrives just days before the next FOMC meeting, making any surprise above 0.4% a potential catalyst for repricing rate expectations and Treasury yields.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$39,038End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader consensus on the August 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month print centers on a 0.3–0.4% rise, with those outcomes carrying roughly 84% combined implied probability.** This pricing reflects a rebound from July’s soft +0.1% reading after June’s −0.4% decline, driven by tariff pass-through into goods prices, AI-related demand pressures on components such as semiconductors and hardware, and volatile energy costs tied to Middle East developments. Core measures remain sticky near 2.5% year-over-year, keeping underlying inflation well above the Fed’s 2% target and supporting market-implied odds for only modest near-term policy easing. The September 11 release arrives just days before the next FOMC meeting, making any surprise above 0.4% a potential catalyst for repricing rate expectations and Treasury yields.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$39,038End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the August 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month print centers on a 0.3–0.4% rise, with those outcomes carrying roughly 84% combined implied probability.** This pricing reflects a rebound from July’s soft +0.1% reading after June’s −0.4% decline, driven by tariff pass-through into goods prices, AI-related demand pressures on components such as semiconductors and hardware, and volatile energy costs tied to Middle East developments. Core measures remain sticky near 2.5% year-over-year, keeping underlying inflation well above the Fed’s 2% target and supporting market-implied odds for only modest near-term policy easing. The September 11 release arrives just days before the next FOMC meeting, making any surprise above 0.4% a potential catalyst for repricing rate expectations and Treasury yields.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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