Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Australia 31%

France 23%

Finland 16%

Denmark 11%

$459,184 Vol.

May 16, 2026

Australia

$7,083 Vol.

31%

France

$5,810 Vol.

23%

Finland

$7,615 Vol.

16%

Denmark

$6,418 Vol.

11%

Czechia

$118,297 Vol.

Malta

$90,172 Vol.

Sweden

$25,037 Vol.

Italy

$2,426 Vol.

Austria

$39,505 Vol.

Israel

$2,733 Vol.

Ukraine

$2,193 Vol.

Croatia

$5,640 Vol.

Germany

$54,283 Vol.

United Kingdom

$14,602 Vol.

Greece

$2,011 Vol.

Bulgaria

$3,210 Vol.

Moldova

$20,548 Vol.

Latvia

$1,991 Vol.

Montenegro

$10,698 Vol.

Poland

$10,324 Vol.

Portugal

$2,484 Vol.

Albania

$2,277 Vol.

Cyprus

$2,085 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$1,686 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$1,986 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$1,999 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$1,881 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$1,682 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$1,764 Vol.

<1%

Romania

$1,675 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$1,681 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$1,953 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$1,767 Vol.

<1%

Serbia

$1,765 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$1,906 Vol.

<1%

Australia 31%

France 23%

Finland 16%

Denmark 11%

$459,184 Vol.

May 16, 2026

Australia

$7,083 Vol.

31%

France

$5,810 Vol.

23%

Finland

$7,615 Vol.

16%

Denmark

$6,418 Vol.

11%

Czechia

$118,297 Vol.

Malta

$90,172 Vol.

Sweden

$25,037 Vol.

Italy

$2,426 Vol.

Austria

$39,505 Vol.

Israel

$2,733 Vol.

Ukraine

$2,193 Vol.

Croatia

$5,640 Vol.

Germany

$54,283 Vol.

United Kingdom

$14,602 Vol.

Greece

$2,011 Vol.

Bulgaria

$3,210 Vol.

Moldova

$20,548 Vol.

Latvia

$1,991 Vol.

Montenegro

$10,698 Vol.

Poland

$10,324 Vol.

Portugal

$2,484 Vol.

Albania

$2,277 Vol.

Cyprus

$2,085 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$1,686 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$1,986 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$1,999 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$1,881 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$1,682 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$1,764 Vol.

<1%

Romania

$1,675 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$1,681 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$1,953 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$1,767 Vol.

<1%

Serbia

$1,765 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$1,906 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

With Eurovision 2026 national selections still months away, trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the jury frontrunner at 30% implied probability, buoyed by its track record of polished, jury-pleasing entries like recent top-five finishes that resonate with professional voters favoring strong vocals and production. France trails closely at 23.5%, leveraging France Télévisions' history of investing in sophisticated chansons that excel in jury tallies, while Finland (16%) and Denmark (11%) draw support from Nordic pop craftsmanship and melodic hooks proven in prior juries. The fragmented field underscores high uncertainty, with odds hinging on early song reveals, artist announcements, and historical voting patterns where juries prioritize technical merit over public flash—watch for January national final calendars to spark momentum shifts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 26, 2026, 12:04 AM UTC

Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

18%

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

68%

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

89%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 31%, followed by "France" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" has generated $459.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is "Australia" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $459.2K traded on “Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 31¢ for "Australia" in the "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 31% chance that "Australia" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 31¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 69¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 16, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

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