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icon for How much spending will DOGE cut in first 6 months?

How much spending will DOGE cut in first 6 months?

icon for How much spending will DOGE cut in first 6 months?

How much spending will DOGE cut in first 6 months?

<$250b 100.0%

$250-500b <1%

$500-750b <1%

$750b-1T <1%

Polymarket

$2,914,931 Vol.

<$250b 100.0%

$250-500b <1%

$500-750b <1%

$750b-1T <1%

Polymarket

$2,914,931 Vol.

<$250b

$742,914 Vol.

Yes

$250-500b

$198,270 Vol.

No

$500-750b

$160,658 Vol.

No

$750b-1T

$604,875 Vol.

No

$1-2T

$444,793 Vol.

No

>$2T

$763,420 Vol.

No

This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by less than $250,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $250,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $500,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $500,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $750,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $750,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $1,000,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $1,000,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $2,000,000,000,000 (inclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by more than $2,000,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).

This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $500,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $750,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.

The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.

The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.

This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Volumen
$2,914,931
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2025
Mercado abierto
Dec 30, 2024, 1:35 PM ET
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $500,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $750,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by less than $250,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $250,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $500,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $500,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $750,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $750,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $1,000,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $1,000,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $2,000,000,000,000 (inclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by more than $2,000,000,000,000 between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).

This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $500,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $750,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value.

The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.

The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.

This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Volumen
$2,914,931
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2025
Mercado abierto
Dec 30, 2024, 1:35 PM ET
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by between $500,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $750,000,000,000 (exclusive) between the Q4 2024 report and the Q2 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q2 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q2 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"How much spending will DOGE cut in first 6 months?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<$250b" con 100%, seguido de "$250-500b" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "How much spending will DOGE cut in first 6 months?" ha generado $2.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 30, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "How much spending will DOGE cut in first 6 months?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "How much spending will DOGE cut in first 6 months?" es "<$250b" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "$250-500b" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "How much spending will DOGE cut in first 6 months?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.