Trader consensus pins Aurora Gaming at a 25.5% implied probability to win ESL One Birmingham 2026, propelled by their championship run at BetBoom Dacha Belgrade last week where they toppled Virtus.pro in the grand finals, signaling strong form in the post-TI13 landscape. Team Yandex (23.5%) and Tundra Esports (23.0%) trail closely after consistent top-four finishes across recent majors like PGL Wallachia S2 and FISSURE events, reflecting a bunched competitive dynamic fueled by patch 7.36's diverse meta favoring adaptable rosters and versatile hero pools. Team Spirit's TI13 victory provides pedigree at 17.5%, but recent inconsistencies keep the race tight heading into DPC qualifiers, with no dominant force emerging.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAurora Gaming 26%
Team Yandex 24%
Tundra Esports 23%
Team Spirit 18%
$39,216 Vol.
$39,216 Vol.

Aurora Gaming
26%

Team Yandex
24%

Tundra Esports
23%

Team Spirit
18%

Team Falcons
9%

PARIVISION
6%

MOUZ
4%

Xtreme Gaming
2%

OG
<1%

Nigma Galaxy
<1%

Yakult Brothers
<1%

GamerLegion
<1%

Virtus.pro
<1%

BetBoom Team
<1%

REKONIX
<1%

paiN Gaming
<1%
Aurora Gaming 26%
Team Yandex 24%
Tundra Esports 23%
Team Spirit 18%
$39,216 Vol.
$39,216 Vol.

Aurora Gaming
26%

Team Yandex
24%

Tundra Esports
23%

Team Spirit
18%

Team Falcons
9%

PARIVISION
6%

MOUZ
4%

Xtreme Gaming
2%

OG
<1%

Nigma Galaxy
<1%

Yakult Brothers
<1%

GamerLegion
<1%

Virtus.pro
<1%

BetBoom Team
<1%

REKONIX
<1%

paiN Gaming
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://www.esl-one.com/birmingham or https://esl.com/events); however, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/dota2/ESL_One/Birmingham/2026) may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins Aurora Gaming at a 25.5% implied probability to win ESL One Birmingham 2026, propelled by their championship run at BetBoom Dacha Belgrade last week where they toppled Virtus.pro in the grand finals, signaling strong form in the post-TI13 landscape. Team Yandex (23.5%) and Tundra Esports (23.0%) trail closely after consistent top-four finishes across recent majors like PGL Wallachia S2 and FISSURE events, reflecting a bunched competitive dynamic fueled by patch 7.36's diverse meta favoring adaptable rosters and versatile hero pools. Team Spirit's TI13 victory provides pedigree at 17.5%, but recent inconsistencies keep the race tight heading into DPC qualifiers, with no dominant force emerging.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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