Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential cycles that favor Democratic candidates by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan, seeking re-election on November 3, 2026, faces only token opposition after the August 11 primaries, with Republican nominee Erik Olsen positioned as a long-shot challenger in a district that includes Madison and surrounding areas. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting entrenched voter patterns, high Democratic turnout expectations, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data that would signal a shift. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly partisan districts, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$88,966 거래량
$88,966 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
96%
공화당
4%
$88,966 거래량
$88,966 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$53,340 거래량
96%
공화당
$35,625 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential cycles that favor Democratic candidates by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan, seeking re-election on November 3, 2026, faces only token opposition after the August 11 primaries, with Republican nominee Erik Olsen positioned as a long-shot challenger in a district that includes Madison and surrounding areas. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting entrenched voter patterns, high Democratic turnout expectations, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data that would signal a shift. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly partisan districts, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$88,966종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential cycles that favor Democratic candidates by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan, seeking re-election on November 3, 2026, faces only token opposition after the August 11 primaries, with Republican nominee Erik Olsen positioned as a long-shot challenger in a district that includes Madison and surrounding areas. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting entrenched voter patterns, high Democratic turnout expectations, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data that would signal a shift. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly partisan districts, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$88,966종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential cycles that favor Democratic candidates by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan, seeking re-election on November 3, 2026, faces only token opposition after the August 11 primaries, with Republican nominee Erik Olsen positioned as a long-shot challenger in a district that includes Madison and surrounding areas. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting entrenched voter patterns, high Democratic turnout expectations, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data that would signal a shift. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly partisan districts, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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