Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voter index and the incumbent Democrat’s 70 percent margin in the prior cycle. Mark Pocan, the sitting representative since 2013, faces minimal opposition in the Democratic primary ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Republican primary candidates have yet to generate comparable fundraising or visibility. Nonpartisan rating services classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its concentration of voters in the Madison area. The market’s heavy weighting toward a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though shifts could still arise from an unexpected primary challenge, national political realignment before November 2026, or unforeseen developments affecting candidate viability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$88,966 거래량
$88,966 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
96%
공화당
4%
$88,966 거래량
$88,966 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$53,340 거래량
96%
공화당
$35,625 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voter index and the incumbent Democrat’s 70 percent margin in the prior cycle. Mark Pocan, the sitting representative since 2013, faces minimal opposition in the Democratic primary ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Republican primary candidates have yet to generate comparable fundraising or visibility. Nonpartisan rating services classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its concentration of voters in the Madison area. The market’s heavy weighting toward a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though shifts could still arise from an unexpected primary challenge, national political realignment before November 2026, or unforeseen developments affecting candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$88,966종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voter index and the incumbent Democrat’s 70 percent margin in the prior cycle. Mark Pocan, the sitting representative since 2013, faces minimal opposition in the Democratic primary ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Republican primary candidates have yet to generate comparable fundraising or visibility. Nonpartisan rating services classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its concentration of voters in the Madison area. The market’s heavy weighting toward a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though shifts could still arise from an unexpected primary challenge, national political realignment before November 2026, or unforeseen developments affecting candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$88,966종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voter index and the incumbent Democrat’s 70 percent margin in the prior cycle. Mark Pocan, the sitting representative since 2013, faces minimal opposition in the Democratic primary ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Republican primary candidates have yet to generate comparable fundraising or visibility. Nonpartisan rating services classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its concentration of voters in the Madison area. The market’s heavy weighting toward a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though shifts could still arise from an unexpected primary challenge, national political realignment before November 2026, or unforeseen developments affecting candidate viability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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