$1,077,858 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
2월 28일
$31,686 Vol.
1%
3월 31일
$96,997 Vol.
11%
챱스틱이 슈퍼헤비 부스터를 잡을까?
$182,935 Vol.
17%
슈퍼 헤비 부스터가 폭발하나요?
$149,485 Vol.
63%
성공적인 해상 착수?
$113,924 Vol.
61%
If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
생성일: Jan 6, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
볼륨
$1,077,858종료일
Jan 31, 2026생성일
Jan 6, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...$1,077,858 Vol.
2월 28일
$31,686 Vol.
1%
3월 31일
$96,997 Vol.
11%
챱스틱이 슈퍼헤비 부스터를 잡을까?
$182,935 Vol.
17%
슈퍼 헤비 부스터가 폭발하나요?
$149,485 Vol.
63%
성공적인 해상 착수?
$113,924 Vol.
61%
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외부 링크를 조심하십시오.
Frequently Asked Questions
"SpaceX Starship 비행 테스트 12" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "슈퍼 헤비 부스터가 폭발하나요?" at 63%, followed by "성공적인 해상 착수?" at 61%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "SpaceX Starship 비행 테스트 12" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "SpaceX Starship 비행 테스트 12," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "SpaceX Starship 비행 테스트 12" is "슈퍼 헤비 부스터가 폭발하나요?" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "성공적인 해상 착수?" at 61%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "SpaceX Starship 비행 테스트 12" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions